CFR Cluj 2-1 Sepsi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Romania - 1st Division, 28 Apr 2024

📅28/04/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.64
Draw
25%
3.8
Away
32%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.21
Over 2.5
51%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.63
No
51%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
4.52
2-3 Goals
40%
1.9
4-5 Goals
22%
2.9
6+ Goals
11%
8.38
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.52 — our 27% vs market 17.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
15%
X/2
16%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
12%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
57%
-14.3pp
25%
Draw
23%
+2.3pp
32%
Away Win
20%
+11.9pp
49%
Under 2.5
41%
+7.8pp
51%
Over 2.5
59%
-7.8pp
49%
BTTS Yes
57%
-8.7pp
51%
BTTS No
43%
+8.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CFR Cluj EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Sepsi EU Bookmakers 23%
+3% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / -22%
1.67/0.62 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.92/1.39
+1% / +45% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / -1%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
367 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CFR Cluj
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Sepsi
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 1
29.03.2024 Sepsi Sepsi 1-1 HT 1-1 CFR Cluj CFR Cluj ROM
17.12.2023 Sepsi Sepsi 2-1 HT 0-1 CFR Cluj CFR Cluj ROM
05.10.2023 CFR Cluj CFR Cluj 3-0 HT 1-0 Sepsi Sepsi ROM
20.05.2023 Sepsi Sepsi 1-2 HT 1-1 CFR Cluj CFR Cluj ROM
26.04.2023 Sepsi Sepsi 3-0 HT 2-0 CFR Cluj CFR Cluj ROK
15.04.2023 CFR Cluj CFR Cluj 2-1 HT 1-1 Sepsi Sepsi ROM
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME CFR Cluj
2-1
AWAY Sepsi
64% Ball Possession 36%
24 Total Shots 6
8 Shots on Target 1
16 Corners 2
POST-MATCH CFR Cluj vs Sepsi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CFR Cluj nicked a narrow win over Sepsi 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had CFR Cluj as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, CFR Cluj had 64% of the ball to Sepsi's 36%, shots finished 24-6.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, CFR Cluj had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for CFR Cluj and 1.33 for Sepsi.

What was the final score of CFR Cluj vs Sepsi?

CFR Cluj 2-1 Sepsi in the Romania - 1st Division on 28/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CFR Cluj vs Sepsi?

Before kick-off our model rated a CFR Cluj win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split CFR Cluj 43%, draw 25%, Sepsi 32%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (CFR Cluj), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (CFR Cluj) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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