Jönköpings Södra 1-0 Norrby IF — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 1st Division, 28 Apr 2025

📅28/04/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.47
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
37%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
61%
1.82
Over
39%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.73
No
56%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1
34%
2-3
39%
4-5
20%
6+
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
14%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
16%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 61%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
37%
-1.4pp
28%
Draw
27%
+0.8pp
37%
Away Win
36%
+0.5pp
61%
Under 2.5
51%
+9.4pp
39%
Over 2.5
49%
-9.4pp
44%
BTTS Yes
54%
-9.8pp
56%
BTTS No
46%
+9.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Jönköpings Södra EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Norrby IF EU Bookmakers 40%
+28% / +28% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -10%
1.42/0.38 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.77/1.44
-4% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -46% / +3%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
340 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 386 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.9 Yellow Cards 1.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Jönköpings Södra
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Norrby IF
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
57% Ball Possession 43%
10 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
02.09.2024 Jönköpings Södra Jönköpings Södra 1-0 HT 0-0 Norrby IF Norrby IF İSÇ3
06.04.2024 Norrby IF Norrby IF 1-1 HT 0-0 Jönköpings Södra Jönköpings Södra İSÇ3
24.10.2022 Jönköpings Södra Jönköpings Södra 2-1 HT 1-1 Norrby IF Norrby IF İSÇ2
19.07.2022 Norrby IF Norrby IF 1-1 HT 0-0 Jönköpings Södra Jönköpings Södra İSÇ2
03.10.2021 Jönköpings Södra Jönköpings Södra 0-1 HT 0-0 Norrby IF Norrby IF İSÇ2
19.04.2021 Norrby IF Norrby IF 2-0 HT 1-0 Jönköpings Södra Jönköpings Södra İSÇ2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Jönköpings Södra
1-0
AWAY Norrby IF
58% Ball Possession 42%
10 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 0
4 Corners 5
5 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Jönköpings Södra vs Norrby IF
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Jönköpings Södra squeezed past Norrby IF 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 28% / 37% — and on the day Jönköpings Södra made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

On the day, Jönköpings Södra had 58% of the ball to Norrby IF's 42%, shots finished 10-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Jönköpings Södra and 1.00 for Norrby IF.

What was the final score of Jönköpings Södra vs Norrby IF?

Jönköpings Södra 1-0 Norrby IF in the Sweden - 1st Division on 28/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Jönköpings Södra vs Norrby IF?

Before kick-off our model rated an Norrby IF win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Jönköpings Södra 35%, draw 28%, Norrby IF 37%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Norrby IF) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Norrby IF) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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