Lunds BK 0-0 AFC Malmö — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 1st Division, 28 Apr 2025

📅28/04/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.05
Draw
31%
3.45
Away
34%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
54%
1.95
Over
46%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.68
No
50%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1
30%
2-3
35%
4-5
27%
6+
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
7%
1/X
10%
X/1
10%
X/2
13%
X/X
16%
2/1
11%
2/2
14%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 54%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
45%
-9.8pp
31%
Draw
26%
+5.8pp
34%
Away Win
30%
+4.0pp
54%
Under 2.5
48%
+6.8pp
46%
Over 2.5
52%
-6.8pp
50%
BTTS Yes
56%
-5.4pp
50%
BTTS No
44%
+5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lunds BK EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY AFC Malmö EU Bookmakers 33%
-10% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -2%
1.50/1.23 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/1.23
-6% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / +26%
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 9
9 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
335 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 382 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lunds BK
1W-2D-1L
AWAY AFC Malmö
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 1
10.08.2024 Lunds BK Lunds BK 1-1 HT 0-1 AFC Malmö İSÇ3
05.05.2024 AFC Malmö 3-1 HT 2-0 Lunds BK Lunds BK İSÇ3
01.09.2023 Lunds BK Lunds BK 3-0 HT 1-0 AFC Malmö İSÇ3
08.04.2023 AFC Malmö 0-0 HT 0-0 Lunds BK Lunds BK İSÇ3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lunds BK
0-0
AWAY AFC Malmö
59% Ball Possession 41%
11 Total Shots 10
1 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 8
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Lunds BK vs AFC Malmö
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lunds BK and AFC Malmö played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match split (35% / 31% / 34%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Lunds BK had 59% of the ball to AFC Malmö's 41%, shots finished 11-10.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Lunds BK and 1.00 for AFC Malmö.

What was the final score of Lunds BK vs AFC Malmö?

Lunds BK 0-0 AFC Malmö in the Sweden - 1st Division on 28/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lunds BK vs AFC Malmö?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lunds BK win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Lunds BK 35%, draw 31%, AFC Malmö 34%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Lunds BK) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Lunds BK) ✓ Under 2.5
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