Almeria 0-0 Racing Ferrol — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 28 Apr 2025

Almeria
0-0
Racing Ferrol
📅28/04/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Spain - 2nd Division – 2024/2025

Almeria vs Racing Ferrol Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
64%
1.32
Draw
20%
4.62
Away
16%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under
49%
2.0
Over
51%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.16
No
57%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 ✓
27%
3.64
2-3
36%
1.81
4-5
25%
3.2
6+
12%
11.05
Value flag · 0-1 at 3.64 — our 27% vs market 21.8%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
38%
1.55
1/2
4%
35.0
1/X
7%
21.8
X/1
14%
3.68
X/2
7%
19.0
X/X
7%
6.84
2/1
13%
25.0
2/2
4%
17.75
2/X
6%
26.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
Almeria win — 64% ✗
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
65%
Home Win
71%
-6.5pp
20%
Draw
18%
+1.4pp
16%
Away Win
11%
+5.1pp
49%
Under 2.5
46%
+2.5pp
51%
Over 2.5
54%
-2.5pp
43%
BTTS Yes
42%
+0.6pp
57%
BTTS No
58%
-0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Almeria v Racing Ferrol — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Almeria EU Bookmakers 76%
Head to Head
AWAY Racing Ferrol EU Bookmakers 14%
+6% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +1%
2.09/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.68/1.50
+19% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -27% / -9%
62% Ball Possession 38%
16 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
442 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 231 · 71%
28.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.2
19.8 Crosses 15.2
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.9

Almeria vs Racing Ferrol Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Almeria
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Racing Ferrol
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
2.26 xG 1.01
48% Ball Possession 52%
8 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 10
3 Corners 8
265 Passes 289
80% Pass Accuracy 84%
26 Box Touches 19
15 Crosses 31
1 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
18.12.2024 Racing Ferrol Racing Ferrol 1-4 HT 0-1 Almeria Almeria İS2
16.04.2006 Racing Ferrol Racing Ferrol 1-1 HT 1-0 Almeria Almeria İS2
13.11.2005 Almeria Almeria 2-1 HT 1-0 Racing Ferrol Racing Ferrol İS2
06.02.2005 Almeria Almeria 1-6 HT 0-2 Racing Ferrol Racing Ferrol İS2
05.09.2004 Racing Ferrol Racing Ferrol 0-1 HT 0-0 Almeria Almeria İS2
16.03.2003 Almeria Almeria 3-2 HT 3-2 Racing Ferrol Racing Ferrol İS2
POST-MATCH Almeria vs Racing Ferrol
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Almeria and Racing Ferrol played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

This one beat our numbers. Almeria carried 65% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (57%), and that read landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Almeria had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Almeria and 1.83 for Racing Ferrol.

What was the final score of Almeria vs Racing Ferrol?

Almeria 0-0 Racing Ferrol in the Spain - 2nd Division on 28/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Almeria vs Racing Ferrol?

Before kick-off our model rated a Almeria win the most likely single outcome at about 65%, with the full match-result split Almeria 65%, draw 20%, Racing Ferrol 16%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Almeria), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Almeria) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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