Colon 0-1 Defensores De Belgrano — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 28 Apr 2025

📅28/04/2025 · 🕒02:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.09
Draw
41%
2.83
Away
25%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
71%
Over 2.5
29%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.67
No
59%
1.41
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
43%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
5%
1/X
12%
X/1
15%
X/2
11%
X/X
22%
2/1
6%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
44%
-10.0pp
41%
Draw
32%
+9.5pp
25%
Away Win
24%
+0.5pp
41%
BTTS Yes
33%
+7.7pp
59%
BTTS No
67%
-7.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Colon EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Defensores De Belgrano EU Bookmakers 28%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +8%
1.02/0.74 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/0.72
-15% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / +52%
50% Ball Possession 50%
7 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 7
343 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 313 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Colon
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Defensores De Belgrano
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
28.09.2024 Colon Colon 2-0 HT 0-0 Defensores De Belgrano Defensores De Belgrano ARJPBN
14.05.2024 Defensores De Belgrano Defensores De Belgrano 1-0 HT 1-0 Colon Colon ARJPBN
POST-MATCH Colon vs Defensores De Belgrano
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Defensores De Belgrano squeezed past Colon 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was the draw at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (71%), no to both teams scoring (59%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Colon and 0.50 for Defensores De Belgrano.

What was the final score of Colon vs Defensores De Belgrano?

Colon 0-1 Defensores De Belgrano in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 28/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Colon vs Defensores De Belgrano?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Colon 34%, draw 41%, Defensores De Belgrano 25%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Draw) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Draw) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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ARJPBN More Argentina - National Primera Liga
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