Sumqayıt vs Neftçi PFK Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Sumqayıt v Neftçi PFK — Team-Based Signals
Sumqayıt vs Neftçi PFK Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 0-0
Sumqayıt
AZERS
2-0
HT 2-0
Neftçi PFK
AZERS
1-1
HT 0-0
Sumqayıt
AZERS
1-1
HT 0-1
Sumqayıt
AZERS
2-1
HT 2-0
Neftçi PFK
AZERS
Sumqayıt and Neftçi PFK couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
Our pre-match split (35% / 28% / 37%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sumqayıt had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Sumqayıt and 0.83 for Neftçi PFK.
What was the final score of Sumqayıt vs Neftçi PFK?
Sumqayıt 2-2 Neftçi PFK in the Azerbaijan - Super League on 28/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Sumqayıt vs Neftçi PFK?
Before kick-off our model rated an Neftçi PFK win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Sumqayıt 35%, draw 28%, Neftçi PFK 37%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.