Fulham U21 1-0 Nottingham Forest U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Premier League 2 (League 1), 28 Apr 2025

📅28/04/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.53
Draw
21%
4.34
Away
34%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
Over 2.5
59%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.46
No
42%
2.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
15%
X/X
7%
2/1
8%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
61%
-15.5pp
21%
Draw
20%
+1.4pp
34%
Away Win
20%
+14.1pp
58%
BTTS Yes
64%
-6.4pp
42%
BTTS No
36%
+6.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fulham U21 EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Nottingham Forest U21 EU Bookmakers 23%
-40% / -40% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +19% / +19%
3.38/2.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/1.03
-3% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -50% / +84%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
407 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 299 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
29.3 Crosses 11.0
0.3 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fulham U21
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Nottingham Forest U21
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.99 xG 2.04
68% Ball Possession 32%
10 Total Shots 7
2 Shots on Target 4
10 Corners 6
490 Passes 186
84% Pass Accuracy 69%
30 Crosses 12
0 Yellow Cards 1
03.03.2025 Fulham U21 Fulham U21 0-1 HT 0-1 Nottingham Forest U21 Nottingham Forest U21 INGPL2
06.05.2024 Fulham U21 Fulham U21 0-2 HT 0-1 Nottingham Forest U21 Nottingham Forest U21 INGPL2-1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fulham U21
1-0
AWAY Nottingham Forest U21
61% Ball Possession 39%
27 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 3
10 Corners 8
591 Passes 350
87% Pass Accuracy 82%
33 Crosses 12
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Fulham U21 vs Nottingham Forest U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fulham U21 squeezed past Nottingham Forest U21 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Fulham U21 as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Fulham U21 had 61% of the ball to Nottingham Forest U21's 39%, shots finished 27-10.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Nottingham Forest U21 led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Fulham U21 and 1.50 for Nottingham Forest U21.

What was the final score of Fulham U21 vs Nottingham Forest U21?

Fulham U21 1-0 Nottingham Forest U21 in the England - Premier League 2 (League 1) on 28/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fulham U21 vs Nottingham Forest U21?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fulham U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Fulham U21 45%, draw 21%, Nottingham Forest U21 34%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fulham U21) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Fulham U21) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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