Skeid 1-4 Kongsvinger — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 1st Division, 28 Apr 2025

📅28/04/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
3.75
Draw
28%
3.64
Away
39%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.15
Over 2.5
48%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.63
No
51%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
4.0
2-3 Goals
42%
1.83
4-5 Goals
22%
2.92
6+ Goals
10%
8.84
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.0 — our 26% vs market 19.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
10%
X/2
14%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
19%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
23%
+9.9pp
28%
Draw
24%
+4.5pp
39%
Away Win
53%
-14.4pp
52%
Under 2.5
43%
+9.0pp
48%
Over 2.5
57%
-9.0pp
49%
BTTS Yes
57%
-8.4pp
51%
BTTS No
43%
+8.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Skeid EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Kongsvinger EU Bookmakers 57%
-9% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
1.55/2.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.95/1.05
+17% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / +8%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
302 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 332 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Skeid
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Kongsvinger
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 8
6 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 0
23.09.2023 Skeid Skeid 1-2 HT 1-1 Kongsvinger Kongsvinger NOR1
16.05.2023 Kongsvinger Kongsvinger 5-0 HT 3-0 Skeid Skeid NOR1
22.10.2022 Skeid Skeid 4-0 HT 1-0 Kongsvinger Kongsvinger NOR1
11.04.2022 Kongsvinger Kongsvinger 1-0 HT 1-0 Skeid Skeid NOR1
31.08.2019 Skeid Skeid 0-2 HT 0-1 Kongsvinger Kongsvinger NOR1
28.07.2019 Kongsvinger Kongsvinger 0-2 HT 0-0 Skeid Skeid NOR1
POST-MATCH Skeid vs Kongsvinger
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kongsvinger cruised past Skeid 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 28% / 39% — and on the day Kongsvinger made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kongsvinger led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Skeid and 1.67 for Kongsvinger.

What was the final score of Skeid vs Kongsvinger?

Skeid 1-4 Kongsvinger in the Norway - 1st Division on 28/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Skeid vs Kongsvinger?

Before kick-off our model rated an Kongsvinger win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Skeid 33%, draw 28%, Kongsvinger 39%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kongsvinger) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Kongsvinger) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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