Raufoss 0-1 Egersunds — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 1st Division, 28 Apr 2025

📅28/04/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.46
Draw
21%
3.45
Away
36%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.15
Over 2.5
51%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.55
No
47%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
3.95
2-3 Goals
36%
1.83
4-5 Goals
25%
2.94
6+ Goals
11%
9.06
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
13%
X/X
10%
2/1
9%
2/2
18%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
37%
+5.6pp
21%
Draw
26%
-4.4pp
36%
Away Win
37%
-1.2pp
49%
Under 2.5
43%
+6.6pp
51%
Over 2.5
57%
-6.6pp
53%
BTTS Yes
60%
-7.6pp
47%
BTTS No
40%
+7.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Raufoss EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Egersunds EU Bookmakers 40%
+11% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +33% / +33%
1.67/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.75/1.73
+16% / +39% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +81% / -15%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
342 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 366 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Raufoss
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Egersunds
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
28% Ball Possession 72%
7 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 15
1 Yellow Cards 1
19.08.2024 Raufoss Raufoss 4-1 HT 2-0 Egersunds Egersunds NOR1
01.06.2024 Egersunds Egersunds 1-2 HT 0-1 Raufoss Raufoss NOR1
POST-MATCH Raufoss vs Egersunds
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Egersunds squeezed past Raufoss 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Raufoss at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Raufoss had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Raufoss and 1.00 for Egersunds.

What was the final score of Raufoss vs Egersunds?

Raufoss 0-1 Egersunds in the Norway - 1st Division on 28/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Raufoss vs Egersunds?

Before kick-off our model rated a Raufoss win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Raufoss 43%, draw 21%, Egersunds 36%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Raufoss) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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