Raufoss 4-1 Egersunds — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 1st Division, 19 Aug 2024

📅19/08/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
2.99
Draw
28%
3.54
Away
48%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.03
Over 2.5
55%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.63
No
45%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.84
2-3 Goals
39%
1.83
4-5 Goals
27%
3.19
6+ Goals
10%
10.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
6%
X/2
14%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
27%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
30%
-5.6pp
28%
Draw
25%
+3.4pp
47%
Away Win
45%
+2.1pp
45%
Under 2.5
45%
-0.3pp
55%
Over 2.5
55%
+0.3pp
55%
BTTS Yes
57%
-2.1pp
45%
BTTS No
43%
+2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Raufoss EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Egersunds EU Bookmakers 49%
+0% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +48% / +48%
1.02/1.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.00/0.00
-32% / +43% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +59% /
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
352 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 322 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Raufoss
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Egersunds
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
28% Ball Possession 72%
7 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 15
1 Yellow Cards 1
01.06.2024 Egersunds Egersunds 1-2 HT 0-1 Raufoss Raufoss NOR1
POST-MATCH Raufoss vs Egersunds
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Raufoss swept aside Egersunds 4-1. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Egersunds at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (55%), and both reads landed as well.

What was the final score of Raufoss vs Egersunds?

Raufoss 4-1 Egersunds in the Norway - 1st Division on 19/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Raufoss vs Egersunds?

Before kick-off our model rated an Egersunds win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Raufoss 24%, draw 28%, Egersunds 47%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Egersunds) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Egersunds) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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