Sandnes Ulf 1-3 Stabaek — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 1st Division, 19 Aug 2024

📅19/08/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
3.29
Draw
23%
4.08
Away
45%
1.77
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
3.17
Over 2.5
61%
1.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.33
No
40%
3.05
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
8.09
2-3 Goals
34%
2.32
4-5 Goals
29%
2.38
6+ Goals
16%
4.18
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
5%
1/X
10%
X/1
9%
X/2
5%
X/X
9%
2/1
5%
2/2
34%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
27%
+5.7pp
23%
Draw
21%
+1.8pp
45%
Away Win
52%
-7.6pp
39%
Under 2.5
28%
+11.1pp
61%
Over 2.5
72%
-11.0pp
60%
BTTS Yes
71%
-11.4pp
40%
BTTS No
29%
+11.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sandnes Ulf EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Stabaek EU Bookmakers 56%
+2% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +11%
1.48/1.66 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.43/1.19
+14% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +26% / -5%
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
213 · 67% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 468 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 0.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sandnes Ulf
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Stabaek
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
36% Ball Possession 64%
11 Total Shots 18
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 3
184 Passes 424
62% Pass Accuracy 78%
1 Yellow Cards 1
31.07.2024 Stabaek Stabaek 3-0 HT 2-0 Sandnes Ulf Sandnes Ulf NOR1
22.10.2022 Sandnes Ulf Sandnes Ulf 2-2 HT 2-1 Stabaek Stabaek NOR1
25.04.2022 Stabaek Stabaek 0-1 HT 0-1 Sandnes Ulf Sandnes Ulf NOR1
31.08.2014 Stabaek Stabaek 1-1 HT 0-1 Sandnes Ulf Sandnes Ulf NOR
30.04.2014 Sandnes Ulf Sandnes Ulf 2-1 HT 1-0 Stabaek Stabaek NOR
12.08.2012 Stabaek Stabaek 2-1 HT 2-0 Sandnes Ulf Sandnes Ulf NOR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sandnes Ulf
1-3
AWAY Stabaek
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 21
2 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 9
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Sandnes Ulf vs Stabaek
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stabaek saw off Sandnes Ulf 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Stabaek as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (60%) came in.

On the day, Sandnes Ulf had 47% of the ball to Stabaek's 53%, shots finished 10-21.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Sandnes Ulf and 1.50 for Stabaek.

What was the final score of Sandnes Ulf vs Stabaek?

Sandnes Ulf 1-3 Stabaek in the Norway - 1st Division on 19/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sandnes Ulf vs Stabaek?

Before kick-off our model rated an Stabaek win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Sandnes Ulf 32%, draw 23%, Stabaek 45%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Stabaek), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Stabaek) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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