Moss 3-0 Sogndal — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 1st Division, 19 Aug 2024

Moss
3-0 HT 1-0
Sogndal
📅19/08/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.25
Draw
33%
3.28
Away
27%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.8
Over 2.5
44%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.75
No
48%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.15
2-3 Goals
42%
1.78
4-5 Goals
20%
3.72
6+ Goals
8%
15.7
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.15 — our 30% vs market 26.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
11%
X/1
13%
X/2
8%
X/X
15%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
40%
+0.2pp
33%
Draw
27%
+6.1pp
27%
Away Win
33%
-6.2pp
56%
Under 2.5
52%
+4.5pp
44%
Over 2.5
48%
-4.5pp
52%
BTTS Yes
53%
-0.7pp
48%
BTTS No
47%
+0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Moss EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Sogndal EU Bookmakers 37%
+20% / +25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
1.61/0.64 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.33/1.48
+0% / +123% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / +3%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
259 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 326 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Moss
0W-0D-6L
AWAY Sogndal
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
20.04.2024 Sogndal Sogndal 1-0 HT 0-0 Moss Moss NOR1
07.10.2023 Sogndal Sogndal 2-1 HT 0-0 Moss Moss NOR1
07.06.2023 Sogndal Sogndal 2-0 HT 0-0 Moss Moss NOK
23.04.2023 Moss Moss 1-2 HT 0-1 Sogndal Sogndal NOR1
29.08.2010 Sogndal Sogndal 2-0 HT 0-0 Moss Moss NOR1
04.07.2010 Moss Moss 1-4 HT 0-2 Sogndal Sogndal NOR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Moss
3-0
AWAY Sogndal
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 11
1 Yellow Cards 4
FAQ Moss vs Sogndal
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Moss ran out comfortable winners over Sogndal 3-0 in the Norway - 1st Division on 19 Aug 2024. Half-time: 1-0.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 44% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Moss had 44% of the ball to Sogndal's 56%, shots finished 9-15.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sogndal lead the recent series with 6 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Moss and 2.17 for Sogndal.

What was the final score of Moss vs Sogndal?

Moss 3-0 Sogndal in the Norway - 1st Division on 19/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Moss vs Sogndal?

Before kick-off our model rated a Moss win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Moss 40%, draw 33%, Sogndal 27%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Moss) — while Under 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Moss) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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