Wisla Plock 2-3 Znicz Pruszkow — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 1st Division, 28 Apr 2025

📅28/04/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.64
Draw
25%
3.72
Away
25%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under
48%
1.91
Over Pick
52%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.85
No
50%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1
25%
3.26
2-3
40%
1.77
4-5
24%
3.35
6+
11%
12.65
Value flag · 4-5 at 3.35 — our 24% vs market 23.5%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
17%
X/2
10%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 52%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win Over 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
57%
-6.9pp
25%
Draw
24%
+1.6pp
25%
Away Win
19%
+5.3pp
48%
Under 2.5
48%
-0.1pp
52%
Over 2.5
52%
+0.1pp
50%
BTTS Yes
50%
+0.3pp
50%
BTTS No
50%
-0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Wisla Plock EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Znicz Pruszkow EU Bookmakers 22%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +13%
1.94/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/1.42
+11% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / +11%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
397 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 284 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Wisla Plock
1W-1D-2L
AWAY Znicz Pruszkow
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
19.10.2024 Znicz Pruszkow Znicz Pruszkow 2-2 HT 1-0 Wisla Plock Wisla Plock POL1
03.07.2024 Wisla Plock Wisla Plock 2-0 HT 1-0 Znicz Pruszkow Znicz Pruszkow HAZ
17.05.2024 Znicz Pruszkow Znicz Pruszkow 2-1 HT 1-0 Wisla Plock Wisla Plock POL1
26.11.2023 Wisla Plock Wisla Plock 0-1 HT 0-0 Znicz Pruszkow Znicz Pruszkow POL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Wisla Plock
2-3
AWAY Znicz Pruszkow
59% Ball Possession 41%
19 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Wisla Plock vs Znicz Pruszkow
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Znicz Pruszkow squeezed past Wisla Plock 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Wisla Plock at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Wisla Plock had 59% of the ball to Znicz Pruszkow's 41%, shots finished 19-8.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Znicz Pruszkow led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Wisla Plock and 1.25 for Znicz Pruszkow.

What was the final score of Wisla Plock vs Znicz Pruszkow?

Wisla Plock 2-3 Znicz Pruszkow in the Poland - 1st Division on 28/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Wisla Plock vs Znicz Pruszkow?

Before kick-off our model rated a Wisla Plock win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Wisla Plock 50%, draw 25%, Znicz Pruszkow 25%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Wisla Plock) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Wisla Plock) ✓ Over 2.5
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →