Al Faisaly 1-2 Al Batin — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia - 1st Division, 28 Apr 2025

📅28/04/2025 · 🕒20:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.0
Draw
24%
3.28
Away
37%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.78
Over 2.5
46%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.76
No
54%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
17%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
15%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
46%
-7.1pp
24%
Draw
27%
-2.6pp
37%
Away Win
27%
+9.7pp
54%
Under 2.5
52%
+1.7pp
46%
Over 2.5
48%
-1.7pp
46%
BTTS Yes
53%
-6.4pp
54%
BTTS No
47%
+6.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Faisaly EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Batin EU Bookmakers 31%
-18% / -25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
1.23/1.43 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.95/1.34
-10% / -31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / -5%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
339 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 261 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Faisaly
1W-1D-2L
AWAY Al Batin
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.25
1.47 xG 1.16
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
326 Passes 339
81% Pass Accuracy 81%
19 Box Touches 8
15 Crosses 24
3 Yellow Cards 3
18.12.2024 Al Batin Al Batin 3-1 HT 1-1 Al Faisaly Al Faisaly SUUD1
10.03.2024 Al Faisaly Al Faisaly 1-3 HT 0-2 Al Batin Al Batin SUUD1
23.10.2023 Al Batin Al Batin 2-2 HT 2-1 Al Faisaly Al Faisaly SUUD1
15.03.2021 Al Batin Al Batin 1-2 HT 1-1 Al Faisaly Al Faisaly SAKK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Faisaly
1-2
AWAY Al Batin
61% Ball Possession 39%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Al Faisaly vs Al Batin
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Batin squeezed past Al Faisaly 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 24% / 37% — and on the day Al Batin made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Al Faisaly had 61% of the ball to Al Batin's 39%, shots finished 13-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Al Batin led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Al Faisaly and 2.25 for Al Batin.

What was the final score of Al Faisaly vs Al Batin?

Al Faisaly 1-2 Al Batin in the Saudi Arabia - 1st Division on 28/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Faisaly vs Al Batin?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Faisaly win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Al Faisaly 39%, draw 24%, Al Batin 37%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Al Faisaly) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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