Göztepe vs Başakşehir FK Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Göztepe v Başakşehir FK — Team-Based Signals
Göztepe vs Başakşehir FK Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-1
HT 3-0
Göztepe
TÜK
1-2
HT 0-1
Göztepe
TSL
2-1
HT 0-1
Başakşehir FK
TSL
2-1
HT 1-0
Başakşehir FK
TSL
0-0
HT 0-0
Göztepe
TSL
Göztepe 4-1 Başakşehir FK — Actual Match Statistics
Göztepe swept aside Başakşehir FK 4-1. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Göztepe as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.
On the day, Göztepe had 43% of the ball to Başakşehir FK's 57%, shots finished 29-12, expected goals 3.32 to 0.93.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Göztepe had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Göztepe and 1.67 for Başakşehir FK.
What was the final score of Göztepe vs Başakşehir FK?
Göztepe 4-1 Başakşehir FK in the Turkey - Super League on 28/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Göztepe vs Başakşehir FK?
Before kick-off our model rated a Göztepe win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Göztepe 49%, draw 25%, Başakşehir FK 26%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Göztepe), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.