Başakşehir FK 4-1 Göztepe — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Super League, 30 Nov 2024

📅30/11/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.18
Draw
30%
3.11
Away
26%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.71
Over 2.5
45%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.82
No
49%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.88
2-3 Goals
39%
1.79
4-5 Goals
22%
4.15
6+ Goals
10%
19.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
3.23
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
10%
13.25
X/1
15%
4.88
X/2
10%
6.5
X/X
12%
4.17
2/1
7%
29.0
2/2
10%
4.86
2/X
8%
13.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
42%
+2.0pp
30%
Draw
29%
+1.5pp
26%
Away Win
30%
-3.5pp
55%
Under 2.5
55%
+0.6pp
45%
Over 2.5
45%
-0.6pp
51%
BTTS Yes
51%
-0.3pp
49%
BTTS No
49%
+0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Başakşehir FK EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Göztepe EU Bookmakers 33%
+3% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -20%
1.42/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/1.52
+8% / +26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / -2%
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
288 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 363 · 79%
20.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.1
18.5 Crosses 18.0
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Başakşehir FK
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Göztepe
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.67 xG 1.05
58% Ball Possession 42%
17 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
438 Passes 323
85% Pass Accuracy 79%
30 Box Touches 16
21 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 2
20.12.2022 Başakşehir FK Başakşehir FK 3-1 HT 3-0 Göztepe Göztepe TÜK
22.01.2022 Başakşehir FK Başakşehir FK 1-2 HT 0-1 Göztepe Göztepe TSL
12.09.2021 Göztepe Göztepe 2-1 HT 0-1 Başakşehir FK Başakşehir FK TSL
14.02.2021 Göztepe Göztepe 2-1 HT 1-0 Başakşehir FK Başakşehir FK TSL
03.10.2020 Başakşehir FK Başakşehir FK 0-0 HT 0-0 Göztepe Göztepe TSL
07.03.2020 Göztepe Göztepe 0-3 HT 0-1 Başakşehir FK Başakşehir FK TSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Başakşehir FK
4-1
AWAY Göztepe
1.48 xG 0.33
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 6
7 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 5
350 Passes 265
75% Pass Accuracy 72%
31 Box Touches 11
24 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Başakşehir FK vs Göztepe
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Başakşehir FK ran out comfortable winners over Göztepe 4-1. Half-time: 4-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Başakşehir FK as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Başakşehir FK had 56% of the ball to Göztepe's 44%, shots finished 14-6, expected goals 1.48 to 0.33.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Göztepe led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Başakşehir FK and 1.17 for Göztepe.

What was the final score of Başakşehir FK vs Göztepe?

Başakşehir FK 4-1 Göztepe in the Turkey - Super League on 30/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Başakşehir FK vs Göztepe?

Before kick-off our model rated a Başakşehir FK win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Başakşehir FK 44%, draw 30%, Göztepe 26%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Başakşehir FK), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Başakşehir FK) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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