Samsunspor 4-0 Bodrum FK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Super League, 30 Nov 2024

📅30/11/2024 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.57
Draw
27%
3.72
Away
22%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.82
Over 2.5
44%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.96
No
55%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.18
2-3 Goals
40%
1.8
4-5 Goals
22%
3.76
6+ Goals
10%
15.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.18 — our 28% vs market 26.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
2.04
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
7%
16.35
X/1
20%
3.74
X/2
8%
11.15
X/X
13%
5.08
2/1
7%
25.0
2/2
9%
9.28
2/X
7%
17.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
59%
-7.8pp
27%
Draw
23%
+3.5pp
22%
Away Win
17%
+4.2pp
56%
Under 2.5
51%
+4.5pp
44%
Over 2.5
49%
-4.5pp
45%
BTTS Yes
47%
-1.5pp
55%
BTTS No
53%
+1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Samsunspor EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Bodrum FK EU Bookmakers 21%
+20% / +23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +18% / +18%
1.82/0.54 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.07/0.81
+7% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% /
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
390 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 279 · 75%
23.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 4.0
13.0 Crosses 6.0
3.0 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Samsunspor
2W-1D-1L
AWAY Bodrum FK
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
0.72 xG 0.53
65% Ball Possession 35%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 2
390 Passes 164
80% Pass Accuracy 62%
22 Box Touches 16
16 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 1
16.05.2023 Samsunspor Samsunspor 0-1 HT 0-1 Bodrum FK Bodrum FK T1L
17.12.2022 Bodrum FK Bodrum FK 0-0 HT 0-0 Samsunspor Samsunspor T1L
06.03.2019 Samsunspor Samsunspor 3-1 HT 0-0 Bodrum FK Bodrum FK S2-B
17.10.2018 Bodrum FK Bodrum FK 0-2 HT 0-1 Samsunspor Samsunspor S2-B
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Samsunspor
4-0
AWAY Bodrum FK
3.21 xG 0.46
48% Ball Possession 52%
15 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 0
3 Corners 4
335 Passes 365
82% Pass Accuracy 82%
25 Box Touches 13
12 Crosses 15
POST-MATCH Samsunspor vs Bodrum FK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Samsunspor ran out comfortable winners over Bodrum FK 4-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Samsunspor as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (55%) landed while under 2.5 goals (56%) missed.

On the day, Samsunspor had 48% of the ball to Bodrum FK's 52%, shots finished 15-7, expected goals 3.21 to 0.46.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Samsunspor had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Samsunspor and 0.50 for Bodrum FK.

What was the final score of Samsunspor vs Bodrum FK?

Samsunspor 4-0 Bodrum FK in the Turkey - Super League on 30/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Samsunspor vs Bodrum FK?

Before kick-off our model rated a Samsunspor win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Samsunspor 52%, draw 27%, Bodrum FK 22%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Samsunspor), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Samsunspor) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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