Alanyaspor 2-1 Trabzonspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Super League, 30 Nov 2024

Alanyaspor
2-1 HT 1-1
Trabzonspor
📅30/11/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Turkey - Super League – 2024/2025

Alanyaspor vs Trabzonspor Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.12
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
31%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.97
Over 2.5
47%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.63
No
53%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.72
2-3 Goals
40%
1.83
4-5 Goals
22%
3.33
6+ Goals
9%
11.85
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.72 — our 29% vs market 21.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
3.04
1/2
5%
32.5
1/X
6%
12.45
X/1
9%
5.07
X/2
12%
6.86
X/X
10%
4.75
2/1
6%
25.5
2/2
15%
4.68
2/X
8%
12.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
43%
+1.0pp
25%
Draw
27%
-2.4pp
31%
Away Win
30%
+1.4pp
53%
Under 2.5
47%
+6.0pp
47%
Over 2.5
53%
-6.0pp
47%
BTTS Yes
57%
-9.9pp
53%
BTTS No
43%
+9.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Alanyaspor v Trabzonspor — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Alanyaspor EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Trabzonspor EU Bookmakers 33%
-2% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -18%
1.57/1.29 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.24/1.59
+5% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / -5%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
372 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 286 · 77%
23.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.5
20.6 Crosses 16.9
2.5 Yellow Cards 1.7

Alanyaspor vs Trabzonspor Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Alanyaspor
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Trabzonspor
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.80 xG 1.90
41% Ball Possession 59%
13 Total Shots 19
5 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 8
300 Passes 477
80% Pass Accuracy 85%
20 Box Touches 30
13 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
04.03.2024 Alanyaspor Alanyaspor 3-1 HT 2-0 Trabzonspor Trabzonspor TSL
23.10.2023 Trabzonspor Trabzonspor 1-0 HT 0-0 Alanyaspor Alanyaspor TSL
03.06.2023 Trabzonspor Trabzonspor 5-1 HT 4-1 Alanyaspor Alanyaspor TSL
09.01.2023 Alanyaspor Alanyaspor 5-0 HT 3-0 Trabzonspor Trabzonspor TSL
20.02.2022 Alanyaspor Alanyaspor 0-4 HT 0-4 Trabzonspor Trabzonspor TSL
27.09.2021 Trabzonspor Trabzonspor 1-1 HT 1-1 Alanyaspor Alanyaspor TSL

Alanyaspor 2-1 Trabzonspor — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Alanyaspor
2-1
AWAY Trabzonspor
1.84 xG 1.47
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 10
264 Passes 291
75% Pass Accuracy 79%
33 Box Touches 29
14 Crosses 29
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Alanyaspor vs Trabzonspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Alanyaspor squeezed past Trabzonspor 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Alanyaspor as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Alanyaspor had 48% of the ball to Trabzonspor's 52%, shots finished 12-16, expected goals 1.84 to 1.47.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Trabzonspor led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Alanyaspor and 2.00 for Trabzonspor.

What was the final score of Alanyaspor vs Trabzonspor?

Alanyaspor 2-1 Trabzonspor in the Turkey - Super League on 30/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Alanyaspor vs Trabzonspor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Alanyaspor win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Alanyaspor 44%, draw 25%, Trabzonspor 31%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Alanyaspor) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Alanyaspor) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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