Scunthorpe United 1-0 Southend United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 28 Apr 2026

Scunthorpe United
1-0 HT 1-0
Southend United
📅28/04/2026 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
England - National League – 2025/2026

Scunthorpe United vs Southend United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
2.84
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
44%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under
50%
2.1
Over
50%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
54%
1.54
No
46%
2.31
Total Goals
0-1
27%
3.84
2-3
40%
1.79
4-5
21%
2.91
6+
12%
9.11
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
4.51
1/2 ✗
9%
23.1
1/X
6%
12.8
X/1
8%
6.81
X/2
20%
5.17
X/X
14%
5.11
2/1
5%
29.0
2/2
16%
2.95
2/X
8%
12.3
Value flag · 1/2 at 23.1 — our 9% vs market 2.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
EV — the best model-vs-price gap in that group: the market pays more than our probability implies. After full time the tag settles to ✓ / ✗. Informational, not a validated tip — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.

Scunthorpe United v Southend United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Scunthorpe United The Market 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Southend United The Market 48%
Average Season vs Marketall history · vs bookmaker expectation Weak
Average Recent Form vs Marketlatest matches · vs bookmaker expectation Average
1.50 Expected Goals Scoredper match · higher is better 1.52
1.53 Expected Goals Concededper match · lower is better 1.10
Strong Attackvs comparable teams Average
Average Defensevs comparable teams Strong
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
109 · 87% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 139 · 85%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.6

Scunthorpe United vs Southend United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Scunthorpe United
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Southend United
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.83 xG 1.07
46% Ball Possession 54%
8 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
186 Passes 211
58% Pass Accuracy 60%
11 Box Touches 17
17 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
07.02.2026 Scunthorpe United Scunthorpe United 1-0 HT 1-0 Southend United Southend United İBSL
27.09.2025 Southend United Southend United 0-2 HT 0-0 Scunthorpe United Scunthorpe United İBSL
22.10.2022 Southend United Southend United 3-0 HT 1-0 Scunthorpe United Scunthorpe United İBSL
20.03.2021 Scunthorpe United Scunthorpe United 1-1 HT 0-0 Southend United Southend United İN2
12.12.2020 Southend United Southend United 1-0 HT 0-0 Scunthorpe United Scunthorpe United İN2
12.03.2019 Scunthorpe United Scunthorpe United 4-1 HT 1-1 Southend United Southend United İN1

Scunthorpe United 1-0 Southend United — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Scunthorpe United
1-0
AWAY Southend United
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 3
3 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 3
REVIEW Scunthorpe United vs Southend United
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Scunthorpe United shaded a tight game against Southend United 1-0.

A gentle 44% lean on Southend United didn't survive contact with the match; margins like that flip all the time.

No strong lean on goals — the model had over 2.5 at 50% and both teams to score at 54%, coin-flips both. At 1.54 (~65%), the BTTS-yes price was shorter than our number — the market leaned harder than we did.

Under the surface, Scunthorpe United had 50% of the ball to Southend United's 50%, shots finished 9-3.

The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Scunthorpe United had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Scunthorpe United and 1.00 for Southend United.

Scunthorpe United vs Southend United Result & Final Score

Scunthorpe United 1-0 Southend United in the England - National League on 28/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Scunthorpe United vs Southend United Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated an Southend United win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Scunthorpe United 28%, draw 28%, Southend United 44%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Southend United) ✗ BTTS Yes
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