Wacker Burghausen 3-4 Nürnberg II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 28 Apr 2026

📅28/04/2026 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.19
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
41%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
Over 2.5
51%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.43
No
52%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
7%
1/X
11%
X/1
10%
X/2
10%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
24%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
41%
-8.3pp
26%
Draw
24%
+2.0pp
41%
Away Win
35%
+6.4pp
48%
BTTS Yes
66%
-17.4pp
52%
BTTS No
34%
+17.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Wacker Burghausen EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Nürnberg II EU Bookmakers 39%
+4% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +27%
1.60/1.41 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.96/1.52
+0% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +27% / -4%
50% Ball Possession 50%
7 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 5
339 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 324 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Wacker Burghausen
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Nürnberg II
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
42% Ball Possession 58%
12 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
09.08.2025 Nürnberg II Nürnberg II 2-1 HT 1-0 Wacker Burghausen Wacker Burghausen ALMBÖL
26.10.2024 Nürnberg II Nürnberg II 3-1 HT 1-0 Wacker Burghausen Wacker Burghausen ALMBÖL
13.04.2024 Nürnberg II Nürnberg II 2-1 HT 0-0 Wacker Burghausen Wacker Burghausen ALMBÖL
29.09.2023 Wacker Burghausen Wacker Burghausen 1-4 HT 1-2 Nürnberg II Nürnberg II ALMBÖL
15.10.2022 Nürnberg II Nürnberg II 1-0 HT 0-0 Wacker Burghausen Wacker Burghausen ALMBÖL
02.04.2022 Nürnberg II Nürnberg II 2-2 HT 1-2 Wacker Burghausen Wacker Burghausen ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Wacker Burghausen vs Nürnberg II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nürnberg II squeezed past Wacker Burghausen 4-3 away from home. Half-time: 2-3. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Nürnberg II as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 4-3 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Nürnberg II led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Wacker Burghausen and 2.33 for Nürnberg II.

What was the final score of Wacker Burghausen vs Nürnberg II?

Wacker Burghausen 3-4 Nürnberg II in the Germany - Regional League on 28/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Wacker Burghausen vs Nürnberg II?

Before kick-off our model rated an Nürnberg II win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Wacker Burghausen 33%, draw 26%, Nürnberg II 41%. The final score 3-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nürnberg II), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Nürnberg II) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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