Nürnberg II 2-1 Wacker Burghausen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 13 Apr 2024

📅13/04/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.92
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
24%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.18
Over 2.5
54%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.56
No
51%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
24%
X/2
8%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
48%
+3.1pp
25%
Draw
25%
+0.0pp
24%
Away Win
27%
-3.1pp
46%
Under 2.5
42%
+3.9pp
54%
Over 2.5
58%
-3.9pp
49%
BTTS Yes
60%
-11.3pp
51%
BTTS No
40%
+11.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nürnberg II EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Wacker Burghausen EU Bookmakers 31%
-1% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -15%
2.16/1.33 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/1.38
+18% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / +22%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
387 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 336 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nürnberg II
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Wacker Burghausen
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
57% Ball Possession 43%
18 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 2
29.09.2023 Wacker Burghausen Wacker Burghausen 1-4 HT 1-2 Nürnberg II Nürnberg II ALMBÖL
15.10.2022 Nürnberg II Nürnberg II 1-0 HT 0-0 Wacker Burghausen Wacker Burghausen ALMBÖL
02.04.2022 Nürnberg II Nürnberg II 2-2 HT 1-2 Wacker Burghausen Wacker Burghausen ALMBÖL
04.09.2021 Wacker Burghausen Wacker Burghausen 3-2 HT 0-1 Nürnberg II Nürnberg II ALMBÖL
20.09.2019 Wacker Burghausen Wacker Burghausen 2-0 HT 1-0 Nürnberg II Nürnberg II ALMBÖL
21.10.2017 Nürnberg II Nürnberg II 1-0 HT 1-0 Wacker Burghausen Wacker Burghausen ALMBÖL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nürnberg II
2-1
AWAY Wacker Burghausen
55% Ball Possession 45%
8 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Nürnberg II vs Wacker Burghausen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nürnberg II nicked a narrow win over Wacker Burghausen 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Nürnberg II as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Nürnberg II had 55% of the ball to Wacker Burghausen's 45%, shots finished 8-13.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Nürnberg II had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Nürnberg II and 1.33 for Wacker Burghausen.

What was the final score of Nürnberg II vs Wacker Burghausen?

Nürnberg II 2-1 Wacker Burghausen in the Germany - Regional League on 13/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nürnberg II vs Wacker Burghausen?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nürnberg II win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Nürnberg II 51%, draw 25%, Wacker Burghausen 24%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nürnberg II), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Nürnberg II) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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