Malkiya 3-0 Al Najma — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bahrain - Premier League, 28 Apr 2026

Malkiya
3-0 HT 0-0
Al Najma
📅28/04/2026 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Bahrain - Premier League – 2025/2026

Malkiya vs Al Najma Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.67
Draw
27%
3.04
Away
41%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.56
Over 2.5
44%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.99
No
56%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2.27
2-3 Goals
40%
1.71
4-5 Goals
17%
4.71
6+ Goals
8%
28.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
14%
X/2
8%
X/X
17%
2/1
5%
2/2
27%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
34%
-1.6pp
27%
Draw
30%
-2.9pp
41%
Away Win
36%
+4.5pp
56%
Under 2.5
60%
-4.3pp
44%
Over 2.5
40%
+4.3pp
44%
BTTS Yes
46%
-2.7pp
56%
BTTS No
54%
+2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Malkiya v Al Najma — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Malkiya EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Najma EU Bookmakers 40%
-8% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +8%
0.44/0.59 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.24/1.02
-63% / +99% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / +12%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
327 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 354 · 81%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.9

Malkiya vs Al Najma Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Malkiya
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Al Najma
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
21.12.2025 Al Najma Al Najma 1-0 HT 1-0 Malkiya Malkiya BAH
01.05.2025 Malkiya Malkiya 0-1 HT 0-0 Al Najma Al Najma BAH
08.12.2024 Al Najma Al Najma 5-1 HT 2-1 Malkiya Malkiya BAH
17.01.2024 Al Najma Al Najma 2-0 HT 0-0 Malkiya Malkiya BAHK
18.02.2021 Malkiya Malkiya 1-2 HT 0-0 Al Najma Al Najma BAH
05.02.2021 Malkiya Malkiya 1-1 HT 0-0 Al Najma Al Najma BAH
POST-MATCH Malkiya vs Al Najma
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Malkiya cruised past Al Najma 3-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Al Najma at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, no to both teams scoring (56%) landed while under 2.5 goals (56%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Najma led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Malkiya and 2.00 for Al Najma.

What was the final score of Malkiya vs Al Najma?

Malkiya 3-0 Al Najma in the Bahrain - Premier League on 28/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Malkiya vs Al Najma?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Najma win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Malkiya 32%, draw 27%, Al Najma 41%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Al Najma), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Al Najma) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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