Al Shabab Manama 1-0 Bahrain SC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bahrain - Premier League, 28 Apr 2026

📅28/04/2026 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.96
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
35%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.82
Over 2.5
46%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.75
No
49%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
15%
X/X
10%
2/1
13%
2/2
16%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
47%
-6.3pp
24%
Draw
26%
-2.7pp
36%
Away Win
26%
+9.1pp
54%
Under 2.5
51%
+3.0pp
46%
Over 2.5
49%
-3.0pp
51%
BTTS Yes
53%
-2.0pp
49%
BTTS No
47%
+2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Shabab Manama EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Bahrain SC EU Bookmakers 30%
-26% / -26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -17% / -17%
0.79/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.93/2.20
-46% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / -45%
55% Ball Possession 45%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
328 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 239 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Shabab Manama
3W-0D-2L
AWAY Bahrain SC
1.60 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
54% Ball Possession 46%
9 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
20.12.2025 Bahrain SC Bahrain SC 4-0 HT 1-0 Al Shabab Manama Al Shabab Manama BAH
21.04.2025 Al Shabab Manama Al Shabab Manama 0-1 HT 0-0 Bahrain SC Bahrain SC BAH
26.10.2024 Bahrain SC Bahrain SC 1-2 HT 1-1 Al Shabab Manama Al Shabab Manama BAH
08.03.2023 Bahrain SC Bahrain SC 2-3 HT 1-2 Al Shabab Manama Al Shabab Manama BAH
05.10.2022 Al Shabab Manama Al Shabab Manama 3-2 HT 2-1 Bahrain SC Bahrain SC BAH
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Shabab Manama
1-0
AWAY Bahrain SC
45% Ball Possession 55%
18 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Al Shabab Manama vs Bahrain SC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Shabab Manama nicked a narrow win over Bahrain SC 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (41% / 24% / 36%) promised a tight game; Al Shabab Manama found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Al Shabab Manama had 45% of the ball to Bahrain SC's 55%, shots finished 18-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Al Shabab Manama had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.60 goals for Al Shabab Manama and 2.00 for Bahrain SC.

What was the final score of Al Shabab Manama vs Bahrain SC?

Al Shabab Manama 1-0 Bahrain SC in the Bahrain - Premier League on 28/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Shabab Manama vs Bahrain SC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Shabab Manama win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Al Shabab Manama 41%, draw 24%, Bahrain SC 36%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Shabab Manama), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Al Shabab Manama) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
BAH More Bahrain - Premier League
28 Apr 2026
19:00 Malkiya vs Al Najma Analysis →