Bahrain SC 4-0 Al Shabab Manama — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bahrain - Premier League, 20 Dec 2025

📅20/12/2025 · 🕒16:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.99
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
43%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.68
Over 2.5
46%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.88
No
49%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
33%
2.62
2-3 Goals
41%
1.74
4-5 Goals
19%
4.14
6+ Goals
7%
20.6
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.62 — our 33% vs market 31.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
14%
X/X
13%
2/1
4%
2/2
21%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
30%
+0.5pp
27%
Draw
28%
-0.1pp
43%
Away Win
43%
-0.4pp
54%
Under 2.5
56%
-1.5pp
46%
Over 2.5
44%
+1.5pp
51%
BTTS Yes
49%
+2.2pp
49%
BTTS No
51%
-2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bahrain SC EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Shabab Manama EU Bookmakers 48%
+8% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +29% / +29%
1.62/1.70 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.56/0.93
+53% / -28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / +28%
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
220 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 292 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bahrain SC
1W-0D-3L
AWAY Al Shabab Manama
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 2
21.04.2025 Al Shabab Manama Al Shabab Manama 0-1 HT 0-0 Bahrain SC Bahrain SC BAH
26.10.2024 Bahrain SC Bahrain SC 1-2 HT 1-1 Al Shabab Manama Al Shabab Manama BAH
08.03.2023 Bahrain SC Bahrain SC 2-3 HT 1-2 Al Shabab Manama Al Shabab Manama BAH
05.10.2022 Al Shabab Manama Al Shabab Manama 3-2 HT 2-1 Bahrain SC Bahrain SC BAH
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bahrain SC
4-0
AWAY Al Shabab Manama
51% Ball Possession 49%
17 Total Shots 9
13 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Bahrain SC vs Al Shabab Manama
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bahrain SC swept aside Al Shabab Manama 4-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Al Shabab Manama at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Bahrain SC had 51% of the ball to Al Shabab Manama's 49%, shots finished 17-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Al Shabab Manama led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Bahrain SC and 2.00 for Al Shabab Manama.

What was the final score of Bahrain SC vs Al Shabab Manama?

Bahrain SC 4-0 Al Shabab Manama in the Bahrain - Premier League on 20/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bahrain SC vs Al Shabab Manama?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Shabab Manama win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Bahrain SC 30%, draw 27%, Al Shabab Manama 43%. The final score 4-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Al Shabab Manama) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
BAH More Bahrain - Premier League
20 Dec 2025
19:00 Al Riffa vs Al Ahli Manama Analysis →