Union Plaani 2-4 FC Lahti — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Suomen Cup, 28 Apr 2026

📅28/04/2026 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
15%
12.23
Draw
16%
8.11
Away
69%
1.1
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
3.94
Over 2.5
59%
1.22
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
No
52%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
31%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
18%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
1/2
10%
1/X
4%
X/1
6%
X/2
21%
X/X
7%
2/1
3%
2/2
38%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
15%
Home Win
5%
+9.5pp
16%
Draw
9%
+7.4pp
69%
Away Win
86%
-17.0pp
41%
Under 2.5
22%
+19.4pp
59%
Over 2.5
78%
-19.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Union Plaani EU Bookmakers 8%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Lahti EU Bookmakers 91%
+85% / +85% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -36% / -36%
2.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.31/1.24
+150% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / -42%
37% Ball Possession 63%
8 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 8
213 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 576 · 88%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.6
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Union Plaani
2-4
AWAY FC Lahti
36% Ball Possession 64%
6 Total Shots 23
4 Shots on Target 15
4 Corners 10
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Union Plaani vs FC Lahti
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Lahti got the better of Union Plaani 4-2 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had FC Lahti as the likeliest winner at 69%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (59%) came in.

On the day, Union Plaani had 36% of the ball to FC Lahti's 64%, shots finished 6-23.

What was the final score of Union Plaani vs FC Lahti?

Union Plaani 2-4 FC Lahti in the Finland - Suomen Cup on 28/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Union Plaani vs FC Lahti?

Before kick-off our model rated an FC Lahti win the most likely single outcome at about 69%, with the full match-result split Union Plaani 15%, draw 16%, FC Lahti 69%. The final score 2-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FC Lahti), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (FC Lahti) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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