SalPa Salo 1-1 TPS Turku — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Suomen Cup, 28 Apr 2026

📅28/04/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
4.13
Draw
23%
4.08
Away
55%
1.6
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
Over 2.5
48%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.55
No
52%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
10%
X/2
27%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
22%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
21%
+1.3pp
23%
Draw
21%
+1.8pp
55%
Away Win
58%
-3.1pp
48%
BTTS Yes
60%
-12.0pp
52%
BTTS No
40%
+12.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME SalPa Salo EU Bookmakers 24%
Head to Head
AWAY TPS Turku EU Bookmakers 62%
+16% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
2.00/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.42/0.29
+38% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / +150%
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
263 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 346 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME SalPa Salo
2W-1D-3L
AWAY TPS Turku
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
39% Ball Possession 61%
7 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 8
2 Corners 9
3 Yellow Cards 1
04.10.2025 SalPa Salo SalPa Salo 1-0 HT 0-0 TPS Turku TPS Turku FİN2
18.07.2025 TPS Turku TPS Turku 3-2 HT 2-0 SalPa Salo SalPa Salo FİN2
25.05.2025 SalPa Salo SalPa Salo 1-2 HT 0-1 TPS Turku TPS Turku FİN2
08.02.2025 TPS Turku TPS Turku 5-1 SalPa Salo SalPa Salo FINYK
10.08.2024 SalPa Salo SalPa Salo 0-0 HT 0-0 TPS Turku TPS Turku FİN2
13.07.2024 TPS Turku TPS Turku 2-3 HT 1-0 SalPa Salo SalPa Salo FİN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME SalPa Salo
1-1
AWAY TPS Turku
31% Ball Possession 69%
9 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH SalPa Salo vs TPS Turku
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

SalPa Salo and TPS Turku shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had TPS Turku at 55% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, SalPa Salo had 31% of the ball to TPS Turku's 69%, shots finished 9-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, TPS Turku led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for SalPa Salo and 2.00 for TPS Turku.

What was the final score of SalPa Salo vs TPS Turku?

SalPa Salo 1-1 TPS Turku in the Finland - Suomen Cup on 28/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for SalPa Salo vs TPS Turku?

Before kick-off our model rated an TPS Turku win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split SalPa Salo 22%, draw 23%, TPS Turku 55%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (TPS Turku), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (TPS Turku) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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