SalPa Salo 1-2 TPS Turku — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Ykkönen, 25 May 2025

📅25/05/2025 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
19%
4.65
Draw
29%
3.94
Away
52%
1.6
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
2.21
Over 2.5
46%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.7
No
52%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
4.18
2-3 Goals
39%
1.86
4-5 Goals
24%
2.85
6+ Goals
9%
8.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.18 — our 28% vs market 18.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
8%
X/2
17%
X/X
10%
2/1
4%
2/2
27%
2/X
12%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
20%
Home Win
19%
+0.8pp
29%
Draw
22%
+6.1pp
52%
Away Win
59%
-6.9pp
54%
Under 2.5
41%
+12.4pp
46%
Over 2.5
59%
-12.4pp
48%
BTTS Yes
55%
-6.9pp
52%
BTTS No
45%
+6.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME SalPa Salo EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY TPS Turku EU Bookmakers 62%
+13% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -11%
1.20/1.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.74/0.55
+16% / +55% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / +61%
43% Ball Possession 57%
8 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 7
262 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 443 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.2 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME SalPa Salo
2W-2D-2L
AWAY TPS Turku
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
41% Ball Possession 59%
7 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 8
2 Corners 7
4 Yellow Cards 1
08.02.2025 TPS Turku TPS Turku 5-1 SalPa Salo SalPa Salo FINYK
10.08.2024 SalPa Salo SalPa Salo 0-0 HT 0-0 TPS Turku TPS Turku FİN2
13.07.2024 TPS Turku TPS Turku 2-3 HT 1-0 SalPa Salo SalPa Salo FİN2
12.05.2024 SalPa Salo SalPa Salo 0-1 HT 0-0 TPS Turku TPS Turku FİN2
24.02.2024 SalPa Salo SalPa Salo 1-1 HT 1-0 TPS Turku TPS Turku FINYK
05.08.2023 SalPa Salo SalPa Salo 3-0 HT 1-0 TPS Turku TPS Turku FİN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME SalPa Salo
1-2
AWAY TPS Turku
43% Ball Possession 57%
12 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH SalPa Salo vs TPS Turku
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

TPS Turku nicked a narrow win over SalPa Salo 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Just as the model leaned, our model had TPS Turku as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, SalPa Salo had 43% of the ball to TPS Turku's 57%, shots finished 12-15.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for SalPa Salo and 1.50 for TPS Turku.

What was the final score of SalPa Salo vs TPS Turku?

SalPa Salo 1-2 TPS Turku in the Finland - Ykkönen on 25/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for SalPa Salo vs TPS Turku?

Before kick-off our model rated an TPS Turku win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split SalPa Salo 20%, draw 29%, TPS Turku 52%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (TPS Turku) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (TPS Turku) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
FİN2 More Finland - Ykkönen
25 May 2025
16:00 FC Lahti vs KaPa Analysis →
16:00 Klubi-04 vs PK-35 ry Analysis →
18:30 JaPS vs SJK Akatemia Analysis →
18:30 EIF vs JIPPO Analysis →