FC Lahti 5-3 KaPa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Ykkönen, 25 May 2025

📅25/05/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
65%
1.28
Draw
18%
5.28
Away
17%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
2.74
Over 2.5
63%
1.41
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.81
No
46%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
6.07
2-3 Goals
33%
2.09
4-5 Goals
32%
2.46
6+ Goals
17%
5.06
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
37%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
19%
X/2
7%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
6%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
64%
Home Win
74%
-9.6pp
18%
Draw
16%
+2.1pp
17%
Away Win
10%
+7.5pp
37%
Under 2.5
33%
+3.9pp
63%
Over 2.5
67%
-3.9pp
54%
BTTS Yes
51%
+3.1pp
46%
BTTS No
49%
-3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Lahti EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY KaPa EU Bookmakers 12%
+14% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -15% / -14%
1.05/0.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/3.37
-58% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +24% / -35%
56% Ball Possession 44%
17 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
431 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 373 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.5 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Lahti
1W-0D-0L
AWAY KaPa
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
09.02.2025 KaPa KaPa 0-1 FC Lahti FC Lahti FINYK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Lahti
5-3
AWAY KaPa
59% Ball Possession 41%
25 Total Shots 9
14 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH FC Lahti vs KaPa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Lahti beat KaPa 5-3. Half-time: 2-1. 8 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had FC Lahti as the likeliest winner at 64%, and the 5-3 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (63%) came in.

On the day, FC Lahti had 59% of the ball to KaPa's 41%, shots finished 25-9.

What was the final score of FC Lahti vs KaPa?

FC Lahti 5-3 KaPa in the Finland - Ykkönen on 25/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Lahti vs KaPa?

Before kick-off our model rated a FC Lahti win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split FC Lahti 64%, draw 18%, KaPa 17%. The final score 5-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FC Lahti), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (FC Lahti) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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