TPS Turku 5-1 SalPa Salo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Ykköscup, 8 Feb 2025

📅08/02/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.82
Draw
26%
3.72
Away
28%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.23
Over 2.5
56%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.56
No
46%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.27
2-3 Goals
42%
1.85
4-5 Goals
23%
2.76
6+ Goals
12%
7.76
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
7%
X/X
12%
2/1
9%
2/2
15%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
51%
-4.8pp
25%
Draw
24%
+1.8pp
28%
Away Win
25%
+3.0pp
44%
Under 2.5
41%
+2.8pp
56%
Over 2.5
59%
-2.8pp
54%
BTTS Yes
60%
-6.4pp
46%
BTTS No
40%
+6.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME TPS Turku EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY SalPa Salo EU Bookmakers 29%
+38% / +38% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-46% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
355 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME TPS Turku
2W-2D-2L
AWAY SalPa Salo
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
60% Ball Possession 40%
15 Total Shots 7
8 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 2
10.08.2024 SalPa Salo SalPa Salo 0-0 HT 0-0 TPS Turku TPS Turku FİN2
13.07.2024 TPS Turku TPS Turku 2-3 HT 1-0 SalPa Salo SalPa Salo FİN2
12.05.2024 SalPa Salo SalPa Salo 0-1 HT 0-0 TPS Turku TPS Turku FİN2
24.02.2024 SalPa Salo SalPa Salo 1-1 HT 1-0 TPS Turku TPS Turku FINYK
05.08.2023 SalPa Salo SalPa Salo 3-0 HT 1-0 TPS Turku TPS Turku FİN2
27.05.2023 TPS Turku TPS Turku 2-1 HT 0-1 SalPa Salo SalPa Salo FİN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME TPS Turku
5-1
AWAY SalPa Salo
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 6
11 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH TPS Turku vs SalPa Salo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

TPS Turku swept aside SalPa Salo 5-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had TPS Turku as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, TPS Turku had 58% of the ball to SalPa Salo's 42%, shots finished 16-6.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for TPS Turku and 1.33 for SalPa Salo.

What was the final score of TPS Turku vs SalPa Salo?

TPS Turku 5-1 SalPa Salo in the Finland - Ykköscup on 08/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for TPS Turku vs SalPa Salo?

Before kick-off our model rated a TPS Turku win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split TPS Turku 46%, draw 25%, SalPa Salo 28%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (TPS Turku), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (TPS Turku) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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