TPS Turku 3-2 SalPa Salo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Ykkönen, 18 Jul 2025

📅18/07/2025 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
63%
1.27
Draw
21%
5.28
Away
16%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
2.98
Over 2.5
62%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.7
No
46%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
7.11
2-3 Goals
35%
2.22
4-5 Goals
32%
2.36
6+ Goals
13%
4.27
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
5%
X/X
10%
2/1
16%
2/2
6%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
63%
Home Win
74%
-10.5pp
21%
Draw
16%
+5.3pp
16%
Away Win
10%
+5.2pp
38%
Under 2.5
30%
+7.8pp
62%
Over 2.5
70%
-7.8pp
54%
BTTS Yes
55%
-1.3pp
46%
BTTS No
45%
+1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME TPS Turku EU Bookmakers 79%
Head to Head
AWAY SalPa Salo EU Bookmakers 14%
-8% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -7%
2.54/1.24 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.55/2.45
+1% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -47% / -4%
58% Ball Possession 42%
17 Total Shots 7
8 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 3
502 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 245 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME TPS Turku
3W-2D-1L
AWAY SalPa Salo
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
60% Ball Possession 40%
15 Total Shots 7
8 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 3
25.05.2025 SalPa Salo SalPa Salo 1-2 HT 0-1 TPS Turku TPS Turku FİN2
08.02.2025 TPS Turku TPS Turku 5-1 SalPa Salo SalPa Salo FINYK
10.08.2024 SalPa Salo SalPa Salo 0-0 HT 0-0 TPS Turku TPS Turku FİN2
13.07.2024 TPS Turku TPS Turku 2-3 HT 1-0 SalPa Salo SalPa Salo FİN2
12.05.2024 SalPa Salo SalPa Salo 0-1 HT 0-0 TPS Turku TPS Turku FİN2
24.02.2024 SalPa Salo SalPa Salo 1-1 HT 1-0 TPS Turku TPS Turku FINYK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME TPS Turku
3-2
AWAY SalPa Salo
59% Ball Possession 41%
15 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH TPS Turku vs SalPa Salo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

TPS Turku edged past SalPa Salo 3-2. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had TPS Turku as the likeliest winner at 63%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (62%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, TPS Turku had 59% of the ball to SalPa Salo's 41%, shots finished 15-6.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, TPS Turku had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for TPS Turku and 1.00 for SalPa Salo.

What was the final score of TPS Turku vs SalPa Salo?

TPS Turku 3-2 SalPa Salo in the Finland - Ykkönen on 18/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for TPS Turku vs SalPa Salo?

Before kick-off our model rated a TPS Turku win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split TPS Turku 63%, draw 21%, SalPa Salo 16%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (TPS Turku), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (TPS Turku) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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