Kasserine 1-1 Stade Gabesien — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Tunisia - 2nd Division Yükselme, 28 Apr 2026

📅28/04/2026 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.67
Draw
33%
2.77
Away
35%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
Over 2.5
39%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
No
56%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
40%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
10%
X/X
18%
2/1
5%
2/2
19%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
34%
-1.6pp
33%
Draw
32%
+0.5pp
35%
Away Win
34%
+1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kasserine EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Stade Gabesien EU Bookmakers 37%
+25% / +25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +18% / +18%
1.19/0.60 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.19/1.13
+8% / +67% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +119% / -21%
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
244 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 287 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kasserine
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Stade Gabesien
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
41% Ball Possession 59%
2 Total Shots 7
0 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 3
4 Yellow Cards 5
30.11.2025 Stade Gabesien Stade Gabesien 2-0 HT 1-0 Kasserine Kasserine TUN2
22.12.2024 Kasserine Kasserine 1-0 Stade Gabesien Stade Gabesien TUN2
POST-MATCH Kasserine vs Stade Gabesien
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kasserine and Stade Gabesien shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (32% / 33% / 35%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. On goals, under 2.5 goals (61%) landed while no to both teams scoring (56%) missed.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Kasserine and 1.00 for Stade Gabesien.

What was the final score of Kasserine vs Stade Gabesien?

Kasserine 1-1 Stade Gabesien in the Tunisia - 2nd Division Yükselme on 28/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kasserine vs Stade Gabesien?

Before kick-off our model rated an Stade Gabesien win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Kasserine 32%, draw 33%, Stade Gabesien 35%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Stade Gabesien), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Stade Gabesien) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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