22/12/2024
·
16:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-0
2nd Score
0-0
Kasserine vs Stade Gabesien Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
No
54%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
17%
X/2
6%
X/X
18%
2/1
5%
2/2
6%
2/X
6%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
64%
32%
Draw
23%
16%
Away Win
13%
59%
Under 2.5
62%
41%
Over 2.5
38%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Kasserine v Stade Gabesien — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Kasserine
EU Bookmakers 68%
Head to Head
AWAY
Stade Gabesien
EU Bookmakers 16%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+27% /
+27%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
+31%
/
+123%
58%
Ball Possession
42%
14
Total Shots
9
7
Shots on Target
4
6
Corners
2
408 · 83%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
198 · 69%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
4.0
POST-MATCH
Kasserine vs Stade Gabesien
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Kasserine edged past Stade Gabesien 1-0.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Kasserine as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (59%) came in.
What was the final score of Kasserine vs Stade Gabesien?
Kasserine 1-0 Stade Gabesien in the Tunisia - 2nd Division Yükselme on 22/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Kasserine vs Stade Gabesien?
Before kick-off our model rated a Kasserine win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Kasserine 52%, draw 32%, Stade Gabesien 16%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kasserine), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.
✓ Match Result (Kasserine)
✓ Under 2.5
✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced?
Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself?
Open Match Studio →
TUN2
More Tunisia - 2nd Division Yükselme
22 Dec 2024