22/12/2024
·
16:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-1
2nd Score
1-0
Kairouan vs AS Djelma Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
Over 2.5
42%
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
3%
1/X
5%
X/1
26%
X/2
9%
X/X
17%
2/1
9%
2/2
5%
2/X
6%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
60%
29%
Draw
27%
17%
Away Win
13%
50%
BTTS Yes
29%
50%
BTTS No
71%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Kairouan v AS Djelma — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Kairouan
EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY
AS Djelma
EU Bookmakers 16%
+21% /
+21%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+67% /
+67%
1.99/0.55
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
2.00/1.00
+29%
/
-2%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
+150%
/
+39%
55%
Ball Possession
45%
14
Total Shots
10
5
Shots on Target
4
6
Corners
3
288 · 77%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
232 · 72%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
1.0
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Kairouan vs AS Djelma
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Kairouan squeezed past AS Djelma 1-0.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Kairouan as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%) came in.
What was the final score of Kairouan vs AS Djelma?
Kairouan 1-0 AS Djelma in the Tunisia - 2nd Division Yükselme on 22/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Kairouan vs AS Djelma?
Before kick-off our model rated a Kairouan win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Kairouan 54%, draw 29%, AS Djelma 17%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kairouan), Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.
✓ Match Result (Kairouan)
✓ Under 2.5
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TUN2
More Tunisia - 2nd Division Yükselme
22 Dec 2024