22/12/2024
·
16:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-0
2nd Score
2-0
Chebba vs AS Agareb Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
Over 2.5
38%
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
18%
X/2
15%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
5%
2/X
12%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
36%
27%
Draw
34%
26%
Away Win
30%
42%
BTTS Yes
37%
58%
BTTS No
63%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Chebba v AS Agareb — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Chebba
EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY
AS Agareb
EU Bookmakers 34%
-52% /
-52%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
-100%
/
-64%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
48%
Ball Possession
52%
10
Total Shots
10
5
Shots on Target
3
4
Corners
4
237 · 70%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
356 · 78%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Chebba vs AS Agareb
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Chebba swept aside AS Agareb 5-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Chebba as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (58%) landed while under 2.5 goals (62%) missed.
What was the final score of Chebba vs AS Agareb?
Chebba 5-0 AS Agareb in the Tunisia - 2nd Division Yükselme on 22/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Chebba vs AS Agareb?
Before kick-off our model rated a Chebba win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Chebba 47%, draw 27%, AS Agareb 26%. The final score 5-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Chebba), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Chebba)
✗ Under 2.5
✓ BTTS No
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TUN2
More Tunisia - 2nd Division Yükselme
22 Dec 2024