Wehen Wiesbaden 1-2 Jahn Regensburg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 2. Bundesliga Play-Out, 28 May 2024

📅28/05/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.86
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
33%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.95
Over 2.5
50%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.7
No
47%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.56
2-3 Goals
43%
1.8
4-5 Goals
23%
3.37
6+ Goals
10%
12.4
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
2.49
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
8%
13.45
X/1
15%
4.34
X/2
18%
8.09
X/X
8%
4.9
2/1
10%
23.6
2/2
7%
5.96
2/X
10%
14.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
50%
-8.4pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.0pp
33%
Away Win
24%
+8.5pp
50%
Under 2.5
48%
+2.1pp
50%
Over 2.5
52%
-2.1pp
53%
BTTS Yes
55%
-2.0pp
47%
BTTS No
45%
+2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Wehen Wiesbaden EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Jahn Regensburg EU Bookmakers 28%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +62% / +62%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +75% /
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
356 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 343 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.0
Crosses 20.0
Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Wehen Wiesbaden
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Jahn Regensburg
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.12 xG 1.86
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
273 Passes 288
68% Pass Accuracy 69%
22 Box Touches 25
22 Crosses 21
3 Yellow Cards 2
24.05.2024 Jahn Regensburg Jahn Regensburg 2-2 HT 1-0 Wehen Wiesbaden Wehen Wiesbaden AL2P
23.12.2020 Wehen Wiesbaden Wehen Wiesbaden 0-0 HT 0-0 Jahn Regensburg Jahn Regensburg AFK
15.02.2020 Jahn Regensburg Jahn Regensburg 1-0 HT 0-0 Wehen Wiesbaden Wehen Wiesbaden AL2
31.08.2019 Wehen Wiesbaden Wehen Wiesbaden 0-5 HT 0-2 Jahn Regensburg Jahn Regensburg AL2
22.04.2017 Wehen Wiesbaden Wehen Wiesbaden 1-1 HT 0-1 Jahn Regensburg Jahn Regensburg AL3
19.11.2016 Jahn Regensburg Jahn Regensburg 3-1 HT 1-1 Wehen Wiesbaden Wehen Wiesbaden AL3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Wehen Wiesbaden
1-2
AWAY Jahn Regensburg
1.33 xG 1.69
70% Ball Possession 30%
19 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 1
434 Passes 125
79% Pass Accuracy 51%
32 Box Touches 11
42 Crosses 9
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Wehen Wiesbaden vs Jahn Regensburg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Jahn Regensburg squeezed past Wehen Wiesbaden 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Wehen Wiesbaden at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Wehen Wiesbaden had 70% of the ball to Jahn Regensburg's 30%, shots finished 19-11, expected goals 1.33 to 1.69.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Jahn Regensburg led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Wehen Wiesbaden and 2.00 for Jahn Regensburg.

What was the final score of Wehen Wiesbaden vs Jahn Regensburg?

Wehen Wiesbaden 1-2 Jahn Regensburg in the Germany - 2. Bundesliga Play-Out on 28/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Wehen Wiesbaden vs Jahn Regensburg?

Before kick-off our model rated a Wehen Wiesbaden win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Wehen Wiesbaden 42%, draw 26%, Jahn Regensburg 33%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Wehen Wiesbaden) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Wehen Wiesbaden) ✓ BTTS Yes
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