Gwangju 0-1 Pohang Steelers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Classic, 28 May 2024

📅28/05/2024 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.19
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
36%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.9
Over 2.5
46%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.7
No
51%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
29%
3.37
2-3 Goals
41%
1.79
4-5 Goals
20%
3.52
6+ Goals
10%
13.7
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.37 — our 29% vs market 24.2%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
3.2
1/2
9%
31.5
1/X
9%
13.0
X/1
13%
5.01
X/2
16%
6.23
X/X
14%
4.63
2/1
8%
26.5
2/2
11%
4.36
2/X
5%
13.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
42%
-5.3pp
28%
Draw
27%
+0.5pp
36%
Away Win
31%
+4.8pp
54%
Under 2.5
49%
+5.5pp
46%
Over 2.5
51%
-5.5pp
49%
BTTS Yes
55%
-5.3pp
51%
BTTS No
45%
+5.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gwangju EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Pohang Steelers EU Bookmakers 34%
-3% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +10%
1.79/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/1.24
-23% / +41% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +22% / +13%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
295 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 356 · 79%
28.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.9
22.0 Crosses 21.2
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gwangju
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Pohang Steelers
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.14 xG 0.40
60% Ball Possession 40%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
389 Passes 335
85% Pass Accuracy 79%
12 Box Touches 11
7 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 2
17.03.2024 Pohang Steelers Pohang Steelers 1-0 HT 0-0 Gwangju Gwangju GKOK
03.12.2023 Gwangju Gwangju 0-0 HT 0-0 Pohang Steelers Pohang Steelers GKOK
13.08.2023 Pohang Steelers Pohang Steelers 1-1 HT 1-0 Gwangju Gwangju GKOK
03.06.2023 Gwangju Gwangju 4-2 HT 1-1 Pohang Steelers Pohang Steelers GKOK
08.04.2023 Pohang Steelers Pohang Steelers 2-0 HT 0-0 Gwangju Gwangju GKOK
07.11.2021 Pohang Steelers Pohang Steelers 1-2 HT 0-1 Gwangju Gwangju GKOK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gwangju
0-1
AWAY Pohang Steelers
68% Ball Possession 32%
14 Total Shots 5
0 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 1
512 Passes 259
88% Pass Accuracy 75%
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Gwangju vs Pohang Steelers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pohang Steelers squeezed past Gwangju 1-0 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 28% / 36% — and on the day Pohang Steelers made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Gwangju had 68% of the ball to Pohang Steelers's 32%, shots finished 14-5.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Gwangju and 1.17 for Pohang Steelers.

What was the final score of Gwangju vs Pohang Steelers?

Gwangju 0-1 Pohang Steelers in the South Kore - K League Classic on 28/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gwangju vs Pohang Steelers?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gwangju win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Gwangju 37%, draw 28%, Pohang Steelers 36%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Gwangju) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Gwangju) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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