Al Qaisoma 2-3 Hajer — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia - 1st Division, 28 May 2024

📅28/05/2024 · 🕒19:25 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
2.05
Draw
21%
3.45
Away
30%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.97
Over 2.5
54%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.66
No
47%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
11%
X/2
11%
X/X
7%
2/1
6%
2/2
13%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
45%
+4.5pp
21%
Draw
26%
-4.5pp
30%
Away Win
30%
-0.1pp
46%
Under 2.5
47%
-1.2pp
54%
Over 2.5
53%
+1.2pp
53%
BTTS Yes
56%
-3.2pp
47%
BTTS No
44%
+3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Qaisoma EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Hajer EU Bookmakers 33%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +15%
0.99/1.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.26/1.20
-26% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / -6%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
293 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 390 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Qaisoma
0W-2D-1L
AWAY Hajer
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
09.01.2024 Hajer Hajer 1-0 HT 1-0 Al Qaisoma Al Qaisoma SUUD1
10.04.2023 Hajer Hajer 2-2 HT 0-1 Al Qaisoma Al Qaisoma SUUD1
09.11.2022 Al Qaisoma Al Qaisoma 2-2 HT 1-1 Hajer Hajer SUUD1
POST-MATCH Al Qaisoma vs Hajer
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hajer edged past Al Qaisoma 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Al Qaisoma at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Hajer led the recent series with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Al Qaisoma and 1.67 for Hajer.

What was the final score of Al Qaisoma vs Hajer?

Al Qaisoma 2-3 Hajer in the Saudi Arabia - 1st Division on 28/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Qaisoma vs Hajer?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Qaisoma win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Al Qaisoma 49%, draw 21%, Hajer 30%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Al Qaisoma) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Al Qaisoma) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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