Gana 1-2 Nijerya — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 28 May 2025

Gana
1-2 HT 0-2
Nijerya
📅28/05/2025 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
3.17
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
41%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
52%
1.78
Over
48%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.76
No
49%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1
24%
2-3
44%
4-5
22%
6+
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
11%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
26%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 52%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
33%
Home Win
28%
+4.6pp
26%
Draw
28%
-2.3pp
41%
Away Win
44%
-2.3pp
52%
Under 2.5
52%
-0.5pp
48%
Over 2.5
48%
+0.5pp
51%
BTTS Yes
53%
-2.3pp
49%
BTTS No
47%
+2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gana The Market 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Nijerya The Market 48%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -36% / -36%
0.10/0.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.39/1.18
-93% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -75% / +11%
46% Ball Possession 54%
8 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
341 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 388 · 80%
6.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
13.0 Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gana
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Nijerya
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
0.36 xG 1.24
48% Ball Possession 52%
8 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 5
223 Passes 250
72% Pass Accuracy 77%
12 Box Touches 19
12 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 1
22.03.2024 Nijerya Nijerya 2-1 HT 1-0 Gana Gana HAZ
29.03.2022 Nijerya Nijerya 1-1 HT 1-1 Gana Gana DKE
25.03.2022 Gana Gana 0-0 HT 0-0 Nijerya Nijerya DKE
11.10.2011 Gana Gana 0-0 HT 0-0 Nijerya Nijerya HAZ
28.01.2010 Gana Gana 1-0 HT 1-0 Nijerya Nijerya AFUK
03.02.2008 Gana Gana 2-1 HT 1-1 Nijerya Nijerya AFUK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gana
1-2
AWAY Nijerya
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Gana vs Nijerya
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nijerya edged past Gana 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Nijerya as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Gana had 50% of the ball to Nijerya's 50%, shots finished 11-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Gana had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Gana and 0.67 for Nijerya.

What was the final score of Gana vs Nijerya?

Gana 1-2 Nijerya in the Friendlies on 28/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gana vs Nijerya?

Before kick-off our model rated an Nijerya win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Gana 33%, draw 26%, Nijerya 41%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nijerya), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Nijerya) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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