Nijerya 2-1 Gana — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 22 Mar 2024

Nijerya
2-1 HT 1-0
Gana
📅22/03/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Friendlies – 2024

Nijerya vs Gana Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.12
Draw
39%
2.94
Away
20%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
70%
1.48
Over 2.5
30%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
35%
2.16
No
65%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
45%
2.14
2-3 Goals
37%
1.81
4-5 Goals
13%
5.93
6+ Goals
5%
34.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.14 — our 45% vs market 39.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
7%
X/X
24%
2/1
5%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
43%
-2.1pp
38%
Draw
30%
+8.1pp
20%
Away Win
26%
-6.0pp
70%
Under 2.5
64%
+6.5pp
30%
Over 2.5
36%
-6.5pp
35%
BTTS Yes
42%
-7.1pp
65%
BTTS No
58%
+7.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Nijerya v Gana — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nijerya EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Gana EU Bookmakers 30%
-8% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -17%
0.40/0.62 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.24/1.73
-75% / +91% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / -8%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
344 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 346 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.1
– Crosses 23.8
0.0 Yellow Cards 2.0

Nijerya vs Gana Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nijerya
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Gana
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.24 xG 0.36
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 4
250 Passes 223
77% Pass Accuracy 72%
19 Box Touches 12
22 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
29.03.2022 Nijerya Nijerya 1-1 HT 1-1 Gana Gana DKE
25.03.2022 Gana Gana 0-0 HT 0-0 Nijerya Nijerya DKE
11.10.2011 Gana Gana 0-0 HT 0-0 Nijerya Nijerya HAZ
28.01.2010 Gana Gana 1-0 HT 1-0 Nijerya Nijerya AFUK
03.02.2008 Gana Gana 2-1 HT 1-1 Nijerya Nijerya AFUK
06.02.2007 Nijerya Nijerya 1-4 HT 0-0 Gana Gana HAZ

Nijerya 2-1 Gana — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nijerya
2-1
AWAY Gana
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 8
3 Corners 5
POST-MATCH Nijerya vs Gana
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nijerya squeezed past Gana 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 41% / 38% / 20% — and on the day Nijerya made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (70%), no to both teams scoring (65%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Nijerya had 49% of the ball to Gana's 51%, shots finished 12-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Gana led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Nijerya and 1.33 for Gana.

What was the final score of Nijerya vs Gana?

Nijerya 2-1 Gana in the Friendlies on 22/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nijerya vs Gana?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nijerya win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Nijerya 41%, draw 38%, Gana 20%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nijerya) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Nijerya) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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