Venezuela vs İtalya Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Venezuela v İtalya — Team-Based Signals
Venezuela 1-2 İtalya — Actual Match Statistics
İtalya edged past Venezuela 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we said in the preview, our model had İtalya as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.
On the day, Venezuela had 33% of the ball to İtalya's 67%, shots finished 12-12, expected goals 2.67 to 1.38 — on chances, Venezuela could feel hard done by.
What was the final score of Venezuela vs İtalya?
Venezuela 1-2 İtalya in the Friendlies on 22/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Venezuela vs İtalya?
Before kick-off our model rated an İtalya win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Venezuela 30%, draw 25%, İtalya 45%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (İtalya), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.