Luzern 2-1 Sion — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 22 Mar 2024

Luzern
2-1 HT 1-0
Sion
📅22/03/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.27
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
34%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
Over 2.5
53%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
No
51%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
12%
X/2
9%
X/X
10%
2/1
10%
2/2
18%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
40%
+1.4pp
25%
Draw
27%
-2.2pp
34%
Away Win
33%
+0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Luzern EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Sion EU Bookmakers 37%
+15% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
1.80/1.13 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.50/0.80
+17% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -61% / +77%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
339 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 333 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Luzern
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Sion
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.95 xG 0.93
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
306 Passes 292
77% Pass Accuracy 78%
29 Box Touches 17
22 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 2
25.05.2023 Sion Sion 1-2 HT 1-0 Luzern Luzern İSV
02.04.2023 Luzern Luzern 1-2 HT 0-0 Sion Sion İSV
15.10.2022 Sion Sion 2-0 HT 1-0 Luzern Luzern İSV
27.08.2022 Luzern Luzern 2-0 HT 2-0 Sion Sion İSV
11.05.2022 Sion Sion 1-3 HT 0-1 Luzern Luzern İSV
13.02.2022 Luzern Luzern 1-0 HT 0-0 Sion Sion İSV
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Luzern
2-1
AWAY Sion
55% Ball Possession 45%
10 Total Shots 17
6 Shots on Target 8
9 Corners 8
POST-MATCH Luzern vs Sion
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Luzern edged past Sion 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Luzern as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Luzern had 55% of the ball to Sion's 45%, shots finished 10-17.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Luzern had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Luzern and 1.00 for Sion.

What was the final score of Luzern vs Sion?

Luzern 2-1 Sion in the Friendlies on 22/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Luzern vs Sion?

Before kick-off our model rated a Luzern win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Luzern 41%, draw 25%, Sion 34%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Luzern), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Luzern) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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