Kuzey Makedonya 1-1 Moldova — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 22 Mar 2024

📅22/03/2024 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.75
Draw
29%
3.54
Away
21%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.68
Over 2.5
47%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.03
No
50%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2.69
2-3 Goals
42%
1.77
4-5 Goals
23%
4.34
6+ Goals
9%
21.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
16%
X/2
8%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
9%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
53%
-3.6pp
29%
Draw
25%
+3.6pp
22%
Away Win
22%
-0.1pp
53%
Under 2.5
56%
-2.3pp
47%
Over 2.5
44%
+2.3pp
50%
BTTS Yes
45%
+5.0pp
50%
BTTS No
55%
-5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kuzey Makedonya EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Moldova EU Bookmakers 25%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
2.52/1.46 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.46/0.80
+38% / -27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -61% / +112%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
426 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 256 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.3 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kuzey Makedonya
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Moldova
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
11.02.2009 Kuzey Makedonya Kuzey Makedonya 1-1 HT 0-0 Moldova Moldova HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kuzey Makedonya
1-1
AWAY Moldova
52% Ball Possession 48%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Kuzey Makedonya vs Moldova
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kuzey Makedonya and Moldova couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Kuzey Makedonya at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Kuzey Makedonya had 52% of the ball to Moldova's 48%, shots finished 16-9.

What was the final score of Kuzey Makedonya vs Moldova?

Kuzey Makedonya 1-1 Moldova in the Friendlies on 22/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kuzey Makedonya vs Moldova?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kuzey Makedonya win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Kuzey Makedonya 50%, draw 29%, Moldova 22%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Kuzey Makedonya) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Kuzey Makedonya) ✓ Under 2.5
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