22/03/2024
·
16:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
0-3
2nd Score
0-4
Tanzanya vs Bulgaristan Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
Over 2.5
56%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
No
53%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
10%
X/2
15%
X/X
8%
2/1
6%
2/2
34%
2/X
6%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
10%
19%
Draw
16%
55%
Away Win
74%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Tanzanya v Bulgaristan — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Tanzanya
EU Bookmakers 13%
Head to Head
AWAY
Bulgaristan
EU Bookmakers 78%
-4% /
-4%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
-13% /
-13%
1.00/5.00
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
1.52/1.00
-9%
/
-56%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-35%
/
+10%
41%
Ball Possession
59%
8
Total Shots
16
3
Shots on Target
8
3
Corners
7
228 · 72%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
476 · 85%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Tanzanya vs Bulgaristan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Bulgaristan edged past Tanzanya 1-0 away from home.
As we said in the preview, our model had Bulgaristan as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.
What was the final score of Tanzanya vs Bulgaristan?
Tanzanya 0-1 Bulgaristan in the Friendlies on 22/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Tanzanya vs Bulgaristan?
Before kick-off our model rated an Bulgaristan win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Tanzanya 25%, draw 19%, Bulgaristan 55%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bulgaristan), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Bulgaristan)
✗ Over 2.5
✓ BTTS No
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HAZ
More Friendlies
22 Mar 2024