Güney Afrika 1-1 Andorra — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 22 Mar 2024

Güney Afrika
1-1 HT 1-1
Andorra
📅22/03/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Friendlies – 2024

Güney Afrika vs Andorra Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.37
Draw
27%
4.19
Away
19%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.64
Over 2.5
43%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.67
No
60%
1.41
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
34%
2.57
2-3 Goals
41%
1.77
4-5 Goals
18%
4.59
6+ Goals
7%
24.85
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.57 — our 34% vs market 32.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
23%
X/2
9%
X/X
15%
2/1
8%
2/2
6%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
69%
-15.1pp
27%
Draw
21%
+6.8pp
19%
Away Win
11%
+8.3pp
57%
Under 2.5
57%
-0.2pp
43%
Over 2.5
43%
+0.2pp
40%
BTTS Yes
33%
+6.8pp
60%
BTTS No
67%
-6.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Güney Afrika v Andorra — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Güney Afrika EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Andorra EU Bookmakers 14%
-10% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
0.84/0.38 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/4.84
-64% / +138% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -95% / -49%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
429 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 250 · 76%
23.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 1.0
26.0 Crosses 4.0
0.0 Yellow Cards –

Güney Afrika 1-1 Andorra — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Güney Afrika
1-1
AWAY Andorra
0.98 xG 1.00
79% Ball Possession 21%
16 Total Shots 4
4 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 0
393 Passes 65
83% Pass Accuracy 50%
26 Box Touches 5
34 Crosses 2
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Güney Afrika vs Andorra
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Güney Afrika and Andorra shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match lean was Güney Afrika at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (57%) landed while no to both teams scoring (60%) missed.

On the day, Güney Afrika had 79% of the ball to Andorra's 21%, shots finished 16-4, expected goals 0.98 to 1.00.

What was the final score of Güney Afrika vs Andorra?

Güney Afrika 1-1 Andorra in the Friendlies on 22/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Güney Afrika vs Andorra?

Before kick-off our model rated a Güney Afrika win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Güney Afrika 54%, draw 27%, Andorra 19%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Güney Afrika), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Güney Afrika) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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