Al Masry 2-0 Haras El Hodood — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Egypt - Premier League, 28 May 2025

📅28/05/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
61%
1.37
Draw
21%
4.49
Away
18%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.03
Over 2.5
51%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.03
No
58%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.68
2-3 Goals
42%
1.8
4-5 Goals
21%
3.08
6+ Goals
9%
10.2
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.68 — our 28% vs market 21.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
24%
X/2
6%
X/X
11%
2/1
11%
2/2
6%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
61%
Home Win
69%
-7.9pp
22%
Draw
19%
+2.3pp
18%
Away Win
12%
+5.7pp
49%
Under 2.5
45%
+3.9pp
51%
Over 2.5
55%
-3.9pp
42%
BTTS Yes
45%
-3.2pp
58%
BTTS No
55%
+3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Masry EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Haras El Hodood EU Bookmakers 15%
-19% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -2%
1.57/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.82/1.63
-43% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / -6%
60% Ball Possession 40%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
385 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 243 · 70%
22.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.1
22.5 Crosses 14.7
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Masry
3W-2D-0L
AWAY Haras El Hodood
1.20 Avg Goals (FT) 0.60
0.94 xG 0.76
63% Ball Possession 37%
16 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
402 Passes 183
80% Pass Accuracy 64%
25 Box Touches 10
25 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 3
19.12.2024 Haras El Hodood Haras El Hodood 0-0 HT 0-0 Al Masry Al Masry MSR
06.07.2023 Al Masry Al Masry 3-2 Haras El Hodood Haras El Hodood MSRK
07.04.2023 Al Masry Al Masry 1-0 HT 0-0 Haras El Hodood Haras El Hodood MSR
16.12.2022 Haras El Hodood Haras El Hodood 0-0 HT 0-0 Al Masry Al Masry MSR
14.09.2020 Haras El Hodood Haras El Hodood 1-2 HT 1-0 Al Masry Al Masry MSR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Masry
2-0
AWAY Haras El Hodood
1.70 xG 1.12
49% Ball Possession 51%
15 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 2
266 Passes 282
74% Pass Accuracy 75%
23 Box Touches 15
14 Crosses 12
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Al Masry vs Haras El Hodood
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Masry saw off Haras El Hodood 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Al Masry as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (58%) came in.

On the day, Al Masry had 49% of the ball to Haras El Hodood's 51%, shots finished 15-8, expected goals 1.70 to 1.12.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Al Masry had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.20 goals for Al Masry and 0.60 for Haras El Hodood.

What was the final score of Al Masry vs Haras El Hodood?

Al Masry 2-0 Haras El Hodood in the Egypt - Premier League on 28/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Masry vs Haras El Hodood?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Masry win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Al Masry 61%, draw 22%, Haras El Hodood 18%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Masry), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Al Masry) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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