Al Ahly 6-0 Pharco — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Egypt - Premier League, 28 May 2025

📅28/05/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.22
Draw
23%
5.71
Away
18%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.51
Over 2.5
51%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.13
No
57%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
4.99
2-3 Goals
41%
1.94
4-5 Goals
21%
2.62
6+ Goals
11%
6.45
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.99 — our 27% vs market 14.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
39%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
5%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
7%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
77%
-17.8pp
23%
Draw
14%
+8.4pp
18%
Away Win
8%
+9.3pp
49%
Under 2.5
36%
+13.3pp
51%
Over 2.5
64%
-13.3pp
43%
BTTS Yes
43%
-0.2pp
57%
BTTS No
57%
+0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Ahly EU Bookmakers 82%
Head to Head
AWAY Pharco EU Bookmakers 11%
+0% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +9%
1.85/0.64 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.79/1.18
+4% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / +29%
59% Ball Possession 41%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
419 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 248 · 74%
28.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.0
18.3 Crosses 12.5
1.2 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Ahly
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Pharco
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.90 xG 0.83
58% Ball Possession 42%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
381 Passes 249
81% Pass Accuracy 73%
29 Box Touches 14
21 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 2
22.01.2025 Pharco Pharco 1-1 HT 1-1 Al Ahly Al Ahly MSR
20.08.2024 Al Ahly Al Ahly 0-2 Pharco Pharco MSRK
28.06.2024 Al Ahly Al Ahly 2-1 HT 1-0 Pharco Pharco MSR
14.06.2024 Pharco Pharco 1-2 HT 1-2 Al Ahly Al Ahly MSR
14.04.2023 Al Ahly Al Ahly 3-0 HT 2-0 Pharco Pharco MSR
20.12.2022 Pharco Pharco 1-2 HT 1-1 Al Ahly Al Ahly MSR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Ahly
6-0
AWAY Pharco
2.97 xG 0.79
60% Ball Possession 40%
19 Total Shots 12
11 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 6
348 Passes 203
84% Pass Accuracy 73%
35 Box Touches 17
17 Crosses 14
POST-MATCH Al Ahly vs Pharco
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Ahly ran out comfortable winners over Pharco 6-0. Half-time: 2-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Al Ahly as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 6-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (57%) came in.

On the day, Al Ahly had 60% of the ball to Pharco's 40%, shots finished 19-12, expected goals 2.97 to 0.79.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Ahly had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Al Ahly and 1.00 for Pharco.

What was the final score of Al Ahly vs Pharco?

Al Ahly 6-0 Pharco in the Egypt - Premier League on 28/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Ahly vs Pharco?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Ahly win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Al Ahly 60%, draw 23%, Pharco 18%. The final score 6-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Ahly), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Al Ahly) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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