Al Ahly vs Pharco Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Al Ahly v Pharco — Team-Based Signals
Al Ahly vs Pharco Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings
3-0
HT 2-0
Pharco
MSR
1-2
HT 1-1
Al Ahly
MSR
0-0
HT 0-0
Pharco
MSR
1-4
HT 1-3
Al Ahly
MSR
Al Ahly 2-1 Pharco — Actual Match Statistics
Al Ahly nicked a narrow win over Pharco 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Al Ahly as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Al Ahly had 59% of the ball to Pharco's 41%, shots finished 12-9, expected goals 0.73 to 0.46.
For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Al Ahly had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.20 goals for Al Ahly and 0.60 for Pharco.
What was the final score of Al Ahly vs Pharco?
Al Ahly 2-1 Pharco in the Egypt - Premier League on 28/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Al Ahly vs Pharco?
Before kick-off our model rated a Al Ahly win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Al Ahly 59%, draw 22%, Pharco 18%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Ahly) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.