Al Mokawloon 1-4 National Bank of Egypt — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Egypt - Premier League, 28 Jun 2024

Al Mokawloon
1-4 HT 0-2
National Bank of Egypt
📅28/06/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Egypt - Premier League – 2023/2024

Al Mokawloon vs National Bank of Egypt Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
3.29
Draw
28%
2.94
Away
39%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.59
Over 2.5
35%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
1.96
No
63%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
34%
2.48
2-3 Goals
44%
1.78
4-5 Goals
15%
4.8
6+ Goals
7%
27.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.48 — our 34% vs market 34.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
12%
1/X
6%
X/1
18%
X/2
7%
X/X
15%
2/1
4%
2/2
19%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
27%
+5.8pp
28%
Draw
30%
-2.3pp
39%
Away Win
42%
-3.5pp
65%
Under 2.5
59%
+5.7pp
35%
Over 2.5
41%
-5.7pp
37%
BTTS Yes
47%
-10.2pp
63%
BTTS No
53%
+10.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Al Mokawloon v National Bank of Egypt — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Mokawloon EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY National Bank of Egypt EU Bookmakers 46%
-6% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
1.09/1.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.64/0.86
-8% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +30% / -31%
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
230 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 332 · 75%
17.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.5
16.5 Crosses 16.4
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.2

Al Mokawloon vs National Bank of Egypt Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Mokawloon
1W-2D-3L
AWAY National Bank of Egypt
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.38 xG 1.00
44% Ball Possession 56%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
204 Passes 302
67% Pass Accuracy 74%
16 Box Touches 15
20 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
30.12.2023 National Bank of Egypt National Bank of Egypt 3-1 HT 0-1 Al Mokawloon Al Mokawloon MSR
04.05.2023 Al Mokawloon Al Mokawloon 1-1 HT 1-1 National Bank of Egypt National Bank of Egypt MSR
30.12.2022 National Bank of Egypt National Bank of Egypt 2-1 HT 2-1 Al Mokawloon Al Mokawloon MSR
28.06.2022 Al Mokawloon Al Mokawloon 1-1 HT 0-1 National Bank of Egypt National Bank of Egypt MSR
26.11.2021 National Bank of Egypt National Bank of Egypt 2-1 HT 0-0 Al Mokawloon Al Mokawloon MSR
14.05.2021 National Bank of Egypt National Bank of Egypt 0-1 HT 0-0 Al Mokawloon Al Mokawloon MSR

Al Mokawloon 1-4 National Bank of Egypt — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Mokawloon
1-4
AWAY National Bank of Egypt
0.52 xG 2.08
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 8
6 Corners 4
283 Passes 270
78% Pass Accuracy 78%
15 Box Touches 29
16 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Al Mokawloon vs National Bank of Egypt
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

National Bank of Egypt ran out comfortable winners over Al Mokawloon 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 28% / 39% — and on the day National Bank of Egypt made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (63%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Al Mokawloon had 51% of the ball to National Bank of Egypt's 49%, shots finished 11-15, expected goals 0.52 to 2.08.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, National Bank of Egypt led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Al Mokawloon and 1.50 for National Bank of Egypt.

What was the final score of Al Mokawloon vs National Bank of Egypt?

Al Mokawloon 1-4 National Bank of Egypt in the Egypt - Premier League on 28/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Mokawloon vs National Bank of Egypt?

Before kick-off our model rated an National Bank of Egypt win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Al Mokawloon 33%, draw 28%, National Bank of Egypt 39%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (National Bank of Egypt) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (National Bank of Egypt) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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