Pharco 1-1 Al Ahly — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Egypt - Premier League, 22 Jan 2025

Pharco
1-1 HT 1-1
Al Ahly
📅22/01/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Egypt - Premier League – 2024/2025

Pharco vs Al Ahly Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
21%
5.34
Draw
26%
3.72
Away
53%
1.56
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.64
Over 2.5
39%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.27
No
60%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
36%
2.47
2-3 Goals
43%
1.71
4-5 Goals
14%
4.26
6+ Goals
7%
22.1
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.47 — our 36% vs market 32.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
9%
X/2
21%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
25%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
21%
Home Win
16%
+5.0pp
26%
Draw
24%
+1.9pp
53%
Away Win
60%
-6.9pp
61%
Under 2.5
57%
+3.4pp
39%
Over 2.5
43%
-3.4pp
40%
BTTS Yes
40%
-0.4pp
60%
BTTS No
60%
+0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Pharco v Al Ahly — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pharco EU Bookmakers 19%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Ahly EU Bookmakers 64%
+10% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +3%
1.04/1.32 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.51/0.67
+90% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / +16%
40% Ball Possession 60%
8 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
217 · 64% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 372 · 84%
14.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.5
14.4 Crosses 19.3
2.6 Yellow Cards 1.3

Pharco vs Al Ahly Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pharco
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Al Ahly
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.87 xG 1.62
40% Ball Possession 60%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 7
246 Passes 403
75% Pass Accuracy 83%
15 Box Touches 26
12 Crosses 21
3 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
20.08.2024 Al Ahly Al Ahly 0-2 Pharco Pharco MSRK
28.06.2024 Al Ahly Al Ahly 2-1 HT 1-0 Pharco Pharco MSR
14.06.2024 Pharco Pharco 1-2 HT 1-2 Al Ahly Al Ahly MSR
14.04.2023 Al Ahly Al Ahly 3-0 HT 2-0 Pharco Pharco MSR
20.12.2022 Pharco Pharco 1-2 HT 1-1 Al Ahly Al Ahly MSR
03.08.2022 Al Ahly Al Ahly 0-0 HT 0-0 Pharco Pharco MSR

Pharco 1-1 Al Ahly — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pharco
1-1
AWAY Al Ahly
1.29 xG 2.26
38% Ball Possession 62%
13 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 4
0 Corners 7
193 Passes 338
67% Pass Accuracy 78%
20 Box Touches 38
3 Crosses 38
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Pharco vs Al Ahly
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pharco and Al Ahly shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match lean was Al Ahly at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (61%) landed while no to both teams scoring (60%) missed.

On the day, Pharco had 38% of the ball to Al Ahly's 62%, shots finished 13-16, expected goals 1.29 to 2.26.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Ahly led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Pharco and 1.50 for Al Ahly.

What was the final score of Pharco vs Al Ahly?

Pharco 1-1 Al Ahly in the Egypt - Premier League on 22/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pharco vs Al Ahly?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Ahly win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Pharco 21%, draw 26%, Al Ahly 53%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Al Ahly), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Al Ahly) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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