FC Sochi 1-2 Pari Nizhny Novgorod — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - Premier League, 28 May 2025

📅28/05/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.89
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
27%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.68
Over 2.5
47%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.9
No
50%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.84
2-3 Goals
40%
1.81
4-5 Goals
21%
4.32
6+ Goals
12%
21.05
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
2.59
1/2
8%
35.0
1/X
7%
13.75
X/1
21%
4.44
X/2
12%
8.36
X/X
14%
4.28
2/1
10%
27.5
2/2
7%
6.89
2/X
8%
15.05
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
49%
-5.1pp
29%
Draw
28%
+1.1pp
27%
Away Win
23%
+4.0pp
53%
Under 2.5
56%
-3.1pp
47%
Over 2.5
44%
+3.0pp
50%
BTTS Yes
49%
+1.0pp
50%
BTTS No
51%
-1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Sochi EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Pari Nizhny Novgorod EU Bookmakers 26%
+13% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -11%
1.71/0.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.85/1.47
+41% / +29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -24% / -15%
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
356 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 269 · 72%
26.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.0
17.8 Crosses 17.8
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Sochi
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Pari Nizhny Novgorod
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
2.37 xG 0.64
62% Ball Possession 38%
20 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
461 Passes 248
84% Pass Accuracy 72%
31 Box Touches 17
25 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 2
12.05.2024 FC Sochi FC Sochi 6-1 HT 2-0 Pari Nizhny Novgorod Pari Nizhny Novgorod RUS
29.10.2023 Pari Nizhny Novgorod Pari Nizhny Novgorod 1-0 HT 1-0 FC Sochi FC Sochi RUS
22.05.2023 Pari Nizhny Novgorod Pari Nizhny Novgorod 4-0 HT 0-0 FC Sochi FC Sochi RUS
07.08.2022 FC Sochi FC Sochi 2-1 HT 2-0 Pari Nizhny Novgorod Pari Nizhny Novgorod RUS
01.07.2022 Pari Nizhny Novgorod Pari Nizhny Novgorod 1-1 HT 0-0 FC Sochi FC Sochi HAZ
13.05.2022 FC Sochi FC Sochi 0-0 HT 0-0 Pari Nizhny Novgorod Pari Nizhny Novgorod RUS
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Sochi
1-2
AWAY Pari Nizhny Novgorod
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 11
POST-MATCH FC Sochi vs Pari Nizhny Novgorod
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pari Nizhny Novgorod edged past FC Sochi 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was FC Sochi at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, FC Sochi had 46% of the ball to Pari Nizhny Novgorod's 54%, shots finished 10-16.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for FC Sochi and 1.33 for Pari Nizhny Novgorod.

What was the final score of FC Sochi vs Pari Nizhny Novgorod?

FC Sochi 1-2 Pari Nizhny Novgorod in the Russia - Premier League on 28/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Sochi vs Pari Nizhny Novgorod?

Before kick-off our model rated a FC Sochi win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split FC Sochi 44%, draw 29%, Pari Nizhny Novgorod 27%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (FC Sochi) ✗ Under 2.5
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